Jose Fernandez (5-0, 2.18 ERA) and Ryan Weber (0-1, 3.26 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (66-87) and the Atlanta Braves (62-91) at Marlins Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Sep. 25 and can be seen on FSFL and FSSO.
Fernandez pitched 5.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out eight and walking two in a 5-4 defeat to the Nationals. Weber went 7.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking two in a 2-1 defeat to the Phillies in his most recent start. Freddie Freeman (.278, 58 Rs, 17 HRs, 64 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Braves, going 2 for 2 Wednesday with one run, one home run, and five RBIs.
This one isn't expected to be close when Miami, a big -225 favorite, takes on Atlanta. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at six runs for this matchup. The Marlins have an overall money line of -1,519 and a record as the favorite of 26-29. Miami has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 12-17 and 29-40 as the favorite and SU respectively. The Marlins are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with an impressive 8.7 per game. Miami is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 106 bases.
In the other locker room, Atlanta is coming in with an overall money line of -1,771 and a disappointing record of 44-77 as the underdog. They are 20-28 as the underdog against teams in their division, and 32-38 SU. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.9 per game.
The Braves lead the season series, 10-6. The Marlins have a 52-70 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Weber takes the mound. Fernandez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 51-70 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Mia, O/U - Under
The Marlins hold a 30-40 record this season against teams in the NL East Division. The Braves' record in these matchups is 32-38.
Atlanta has won 35% (25-46) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Miami has won 41% (31-45) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Braves are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Marlins have a 30-64 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 47-21. The Braves have a 43-19 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta sits at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 539 this season. Miami ranks near the bottom at 29th with 565.
Ranking 29th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 351 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 15th with 446.
The Marlins are 40-42 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Braves are 36-32 when they hit at least one homer.