Carlos Martinez (14-7, 3.01 ERA) and Ariel Pena (2-0, 3.50 ERA) take the hill in the second of a four-game series between the St. Louis Cardinals (97-56) and the Milwaukee Brewers (64-89) at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals won the last game 7-3, continuing a five-game winning streak. Action begins at 8:15 p.m. ET on Friday, Sep. 25 and can be seen on FSWI and FSMW.
Martinez pitched 6.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out six and walking three in a 4-3 win over the Cubs. Jason Heyward (.290, 75 Rs, 12 HRs, 56 RBIs, 23 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs. Pena went 5.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out five and walking three in an 8-4 win over the Reds in his most recent start.
This one isn't expected to be close when St. Louis, a big -230 favorite, takes on Milwaukee. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of seven runs. The Cardinals have recorded an overall money line of +2,827 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 82-37. St. Louis is an impressive 7-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. St. Louis is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.1 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Cardinals, who have a team ERA of only 2.87.
In the other locker room, Milwaukee is coming in with an overall money line of -2,316 and a disappointing record of 38-58 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-6 record, and a 2-8 record SU.
The Cardinals have controlled the season series, 12-4. The Cardinals have a great 42-15 record at home (74-38 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Pena takes the mound. Martinez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 45-70 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - StL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals hold a 43-27 record in matchups against NL Central rivals, while the Brewers currently sit at 29-41 in these games.
The Cardinals are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Brewers have a record of 34-21 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 10-69. The Cardinals have a 24-39 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 24th in home runs, St. Louis has hit 131 this season. Milwaukee ranks 20th with 138 home runs.
Both St. Louis and Milwaukee are tied at sixth in hits, notching 8.61 per game.
Ranking 23rd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.709). St. Louis ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .720.
The Brewers are 37-65 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cardinals are 41-40 when they allow at least one homer.