Matt Boyd (1-5, 7.40 ERA) and Mike Pelfrey (6-10, 4.16 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Detroit Tigers (71-81) and the Minnesota Twins (78-74) at Comerica Park. Action begins at 7:08 p.m. ET on Friday, Sep. 25 and can be seen on FSDT and FSN.
Boyd pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out six and walking one in a 6-5 defeat to the Royals. Yoenis Cespedes (.292, 99 Rs, 35 HRs, 105 RBIs, 7 SBs) continued his strong play Wednesday, going 2 for 4 with one run and two RBIs. Pelfrey went 6.0 innings, surrendering four runs and striking out one in a 5-2 defeat to the Angels in his last outing. Brian Dozier (.240, 99 Rs, 28 HRs, 72 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Detroit is a -116 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Tigers have an overall money line of -769 and a record as the favorite of 36-30. Detroit has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 22-9 and 39-30 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Tigers lead the AL in hits with an impressive 9.4 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 60-58 record and an overall money line of +2,088. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-1 record, and a 5-5 record SU.
The Tigers lead the season series, 10-6. The Tigers have a 51-66 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Pelfrey takes the mound. Boyd (LHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a 27-26 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Det, O/U - Over
The Tigers hold a 39-30 record this season against teams in the AL Central Division. The Twins' record in these matchups is 35-31.
The Tigers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Twins who are coming in with a 32-11 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 8-57. The Twins have a 15-61 record when opponents outhit them.
Detroit and Minnesota both rank in the bottom half of the league in home runs. Detroit sits at 17th with 145 home runs this season and Minnesota ranks 16th with 149.
Ranking first in hits, Detroit has earned 9.40 per game this season. Minnesota ranks 13th with 8.40 hits.
Ranking 22nd, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.711). Detroit ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .749.
The Twins are 42-56 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Tigers are 35-64 when they allow at least one homer.