Stephen Strasburg (10-7, 3.81 ERA) and Aaron Nola (6-2, 3.84 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Washington Nationals (78-75) and the Philadelphia Phillies (58-96) at Nationals Park. The Phillies won the last game 8-2 and Philadelphia leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 26 and can be seen on CSPh and MAS2.
Strasburg pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one, striking out 10 and walking one in a 13-3 win over the Marlins. Ryan Zimmerman (.249, 43 Rs, 16 HRs, 73 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run. Nola went 7.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out four and walking three in a 2-1 defeat to the Braves in his last outing. Cody Asche (.250, 39 Rs, 12 HRs, 35 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
This one isn't expected to be close when Washington, a big -263 favorite, takes on Philadelphia. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Nationals have an overall money line of -1,601 and a record as the favorite of 65-48. Washington has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 38-20 and 40-27 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Nationals have no trouble scoring as they lead the NL in offense with 4.5 runs per game. Washington's pitchers put it all together when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game drops to 3.4 against fellow NL East members, compared to its 4.0 season average. The Nationals are the top team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.2 walks per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -1,470 and a disappointing record of 51-88 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-8 record, and a 2-8 record SU. Offensively, the Phillies have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 2.8 during that stretch. The Phillies average 5.1 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL East is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 4.5 against division foes.
The Nationals lead the season series, 11-6. The Nationals have a 59-58 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Nola takes the mound. Strasburg (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have inferior records against right-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 17-40 and 44-75, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner - Was, O/U - Over
The Phillies are struggling at 25-43 in their division, while the Nationals sit at 40-28.
The Nationals are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Phillies have a 25-61 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Nationals are 12-62. The Phillies have an 18-73 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 28th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 123 this season. Washington ranks eighth with 168 home runs.
Washington and Philadelphia both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Washington sits at ninth with 8.54 hits per game and Philadelphia ranks 10th with 8.44.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.682). Washington ranks in the top half at 12th with an OPS of .734.
The Phillies are 29-71 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Nationals are 34-47 when they allow at least one homer.