John Lamb (1-3, 4.60 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (63-90) go up against Matt Harvey (12-7, 2.80 ERA) and the New York Mets (87-67) in the third of a four-game series at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds lost the last game 12-5, extending a six-game losing streak. The game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 26 and will air on FSOH and SNY.
In his last start, Lamb pitched 6.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out six and walking one in a 2-1 loss to the Cardinals. Joey Votto (.315, 94 Rs, 29 HRs, 77 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI. The Mets were unsuccessful to the Yankees 11-2 the last time Harvey pitched. He went 5.0 innings, giving up zero runs, striking out seven and walking one. Yoenis Cespedes (.294, 100 Rs, 35 HRs, 105 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Mets, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Cincinnati, a +145 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. The Reds perform poorly as an underdog with a 34-63 record and have an overall money line of -2,325. The Reds are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with an MLB-high 131 steals. Below average play has been the norm lately for the Cincinnati pitchers. The Reds have given up an average of 5.7 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.5 runs per game.
On the other side, the Mets have a nice record of 68-30 when they are favored and are +923 overall with the money line. They sport the fourth-ranked offense in the NL, averaging four runs per game. New York is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.0 hits per contest. The Mets are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.52 ERA this season. They have a WHIP of 1.19 on the year, good for second in the league.
In their previous five games this season, the Mets have a 5-0 record. The Reds will take on a right-hander (Harvey) in this game and have a 49-66 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Lamb will take the mound against the Mets, who have a 17-15 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 38-25, while Cincinnati is 23-36.
The Mets are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 12 runs. The Reds have a 0-4 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 11-65. The Mets have an 18-55 record when opponents outhit them.
Cincinnati ranks in the top half of the league at 11th when it comes to home runs, hitting 165 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 167.
Ranking 12th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.40 per game. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.60.
Ranking 21st, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.717). Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .719.
When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 41-50. When the Reds allow one or more homers, they have a 30-68 record.