Alfredo Simon (13-10, 5.21 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (72-81) meet Tyler Duffey (4-1, 3.15 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (78-75) in the second of a three-game division series at Comerica Park. The Tigers won the last game 6-4 and Detroit leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:08 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 26 and will air on FSDT and FSN.
In his most recent outing, Simon pitched 4.1 innings, giving up eight runs, striking out three and walking three in a 10-3 loss to the Royals. J.D. Martinez (.284, 88 Rs, 37 HRs, 98 RBIs, 3 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4. The Twins were victorious the last time Duffey pitched. He pitched well, going 7.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out seven and walking one in an 8-1 victory over the Angels. Eddie Rosario (.268, 55 Rs, 12 HRs, 49 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and three RBIs.
Detroit, a +122 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Minnesota. The matchup currently has an eight-run Over/Under (O/U). When playing as the underdog, the Tigers have a 35-51 record and overall money line at -769. They have not performed well against their division, earning an SU record of 39-30. However, they've been successful in games where they were the underdog, with a 17-21 record. The Tigers are an exceptional hitting team with an AL-best 9.4 hits per game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Twins come into this game with a win percentage of .529 when playing as the favorite (18-16) and an overall money line of +1,954. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have played poorly as the favorite with a 2-5 record.
The Tigers have gotten the best of the Twins in head-to-head matchups this season, going 11-6. The Tigers will take on a right-hander (Duffey) in this game and have a 51-66 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Simon will take the mound against the Twins, who have a 51-48 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Det, O/U - Over
The Tigers hold a 40-30 record this season against teams in the AL Central Division. The Twins' record in these matchups is 35-32.
When leading after 7 innings, Detroit is 35-36, while Minnesota is 26-30.
The Twins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Tigers have a 29-47 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 8-57. The Twins have a 15-62 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling in the bottom half of the league based on total home runs this season, Detroit ranks 17th with 146 homers and Minnesota is 16th with 149.
Ranking first in hits, Detroit has earned 9.40 per game this season. Minnesota ranks 13th with 8.41 hits.
Ranking 23rd, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.709). Detroit ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .751.
The Twins are 42-57 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Tigers are 35-64 when they allow at least one homer.