Justin Nicolino (3-4, 4.50 ERA) and Julio Teheran (10-7, 4.20 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (67-87) and the Atlanta Braves (62-92) at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 12-11 and Miami leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 26 and can be seen on FSFL and FSSO.
Nicolino pitched 5.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering seven runs, striking out three and walking two in a 13-3 defeat to the Nationals. Justin Bour (.262, 38 Rs, 20 HRs, 66 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs. Teheran went 8.1 innings, surrendering one run, striking out eight and walking one in a 2-1 defeat to the Phillies in his last outing. Freddie Freeman (.283, 61 Rs, 18 HRs, 66 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Braves, going 3 for 4 yesterday with three runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Atlanta is a slim -114 favorite over Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Marlins have an overall money line of -1,319 and a record as the underdog of 39-58. Miami has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 17-23 and 31-40 as the underdog and SU respectively. The Marlins have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 4.9 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.8 runs per game. The Marlins are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with a phenomenal 8.7 per game. Miami is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 107 bases. Crossing over to the pitching staff, the Marlins are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.4 hits per game so far this season.
In games where it is the favorite, Atlanta has a 18-14 record and an overall money line of -1,871. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games playing as the favorite, and have a 6-4 SU record over the same span. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.9 per game.
The Braves lead the season series, 10-7. The Marlins have a 54-70 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Teheran takes the mound. Nicolino (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 51-71 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Mia, O/U - Under
The Marlins hold a 31-40 record this season against teams in the NL East Division. The Braves' record in these matchups is 32-39.
When leading after 7 innings, Miami is 32-45, while Atlanta is 25-47.
The Braves are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 11 runs. The Marlins have a 1-5 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 43-19. The Marlins have a 48-21 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th in runs, Atlanta has earned 550 this season. Miami ranks 29th with 577 runs.
Ranking 30th, Miami is at the bottom of the league in walks, notching 353 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 15th with 450.
The Marlins are 41-42 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Braves are 36-33 when they hit at least one homer.