Jaime Garcia (9-5, 2.45 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (97-57) go up against Tyler Wagner (0-0, 12.27 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (65-89) in the third of a four-game division series at Busch Stadium. The Brewers won the last game 4-3 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 26 and will air on FS1.
In his last start, Garcia pitched 7.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out five and walking two in a 2-1 loss to the Reds. Matt Carpenter (.268, 94 Rs, 26 HRs, 82 RBIs, 4 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one RBI. The Brewers were unsuccessful the last time Wagner pitched. He struggled, going 3.2 innings, allowing five runs, striking out two and walking one in a 7-6 loss to the Diamondbacks. Khris Davis (.246, 49 Rs, 24 HRs, 61 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Brewers, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, one RBI, and one stolen base.
St. Louis is a considerable -255 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Cardinals perform well as a favorite with an 82-37 record and have an overall money line of +2,827. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (7-1). They have been very patient at the plate, ranking fifth in the NL with an average of 3.1 walks per game. St. Louis's pitching staff can be considered for best in its league, with an NL-low 2.87 team ERA.
On the other side, the Brewers have a subpar record of 38-58 when they are the underdog and are -2,316 overall with the money line. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 2-6 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 2-8.
The Cardinals have gotten the best of the Brewers in head-to-head matchups this season, going 12-5. The Cardinals will take on a right-hander (Wagner) in this game. They have done very well against right-handed starting pitchers this season (74-38), especially at home where they have a 42-15 record. The left-handed Garcia will take the mound against the Brewers, who have a 19-19 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - StL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals hold a 43-28 record in matchups against NL Central rivals, while the Brewers currently sit at 30-41 in these games.
Milwaukee has won 49% (36-38) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, St. Louis has won 59% (33-23) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Cardinals have a 36-24 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cardinals are 58-16. The Brewers have a 49-12 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd in runs, St. Louis has earned 622 this season. Milwaukee ranks 18th with 634 runs.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 397 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 481.
The Cardinals are 64-24 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Brewers are 49-39 when they hit at least one homer.