Robbie Erlin (0-1, 21.00 ERA) and Jeremy Hellickson (9-10, 4.73 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (72-82) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (74-80) at Petco Park. The Diamondbacks won the last game 6-3 and Arizona leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:40 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 26 and can be seen on FSAZ and FSSD.
Erlin pitched 3.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering seven runs, striking out two and walking one in a 10-2 defeat to the Rockies. Matt Kemp (.265, 79 Rs, 23 HRs, 99 RBIs, 12 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one stolen base. Hellickson went 5.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out five and walking two in a 5-1 defeat to the Giants in his most recent start. Paul Goldschmidt (.318, 96 Rs, 31 HRs, 105 RBIs, 21 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
San Diego is a slim -111 favorite at home against Arizona. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Padres have an overall money line of -1,252 and a record as the favorite of 38-32. Within its division, San Diego has a 19-12 record as favorite and a 34-36 record SU. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Padres, who rank third in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.5.
In games where it is the underdog, Arizona has a 41-50 record and an overall money line of -216. They are 19-23 as the underdog against NL West opponents, and 34-36 SU. Offensively, they average 4.5 runs per game, which is good for second in the NL. The Diamondbacks are tough outs for opponents, leading the NL with 9.3 hits per game. The Diamondbacks are an excellent base stealing team with 127 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB.
The Padres lead the season series, 9-8. The Padres have a 55-62 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hellickson takes the mound. Erlin (LHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have a 19-21 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Ari, O/U - Over
The Padres hold a 34-37 record this season against teams in the NL West Division. The Diamondbacks' record in these matchups is 35-36.
The Padres are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Diamondbacks have a 25-42 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 11-58. The Diamondbacks have a 14-51 record when opponents outhit them.
San Diego and Arizona both rank in the bottom half of the league in home runs. San Diego sits at 19th with 145 home runs this season and Arizona ranks 17th with 146.
Arizona tops the league in hits with 9.27 per game this season. San Diego ranks in the top half at 14th with 8.29.
Ranking 28th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.691). Arizona ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .739.
When the Diamondbacks allow at least one home run, they are 36-68. When the Padres allow one or more homers, they have a 40-59 record.