Dallas Keuchel (18-8, 2.51 ERA) gets the start for the Houston Astros (81-74) as they meet Martin Perez (3-5, 5.21 ERA) and the Texas Rangers (84-70) in the last of a three-game series at Minute Maid Park. The Astros won the last game 9-7 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 27 and will air on FSSW and RTSW.
In his last start, Keuchel pitched 7.2 innings, allowing one run, striking out six and walking one in a 6-3 victory over the Angels. Carlos Correa (.282, 48 Rs, 21 HRs, 61 RBIs, 12 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4 with three runs, two home runs, and three RBIs. The Rangers were unsuccessful to the Athletics 8-6 the last time Perez pitched. He went 4.0 innings, allowing four runs (one unearned), striking out three and walking three. Shin-soo Choo (.275, 86 Rs, 20 HRs, 77 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Houston is a heavy -245 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Astros have a 51-43 record and overall money line at -510. They have a 35-37 record SU and are 19-26 as favorite within their division. The Astros rank second in the majors in extra base hits with 498. The Astros are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 113 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Turning to the pitching staff, the Astros lead the AL in home ERA with a 3.14 team average. The Astros don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fifth in the league with a 1.20 WHIP. An area where the Astros are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average 8.5 K's per home game.
Across the field, the Rangers have a record of 59-54 when they are the underdog and are +3,044 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 7-3 SU and have played well as the underdog with a 3-1 record. During the last 10 games, they averaged 7.4 runs per game, above their 4.6 season average.
The Rangers have gotten the best of the Astros in head-to-head matchups this season, going 13-5. The Astros will take on a left-hander (Perez) in this game and have a 28-28 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Rangers will be the left-hander Keuchel. They sport a 31-28 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - Hou, O/U - Over
The Astros hold a 35-37 record this season against teams in the AL West Division. The Rangers' record in these matchups is 34-37.
The Astros are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Rangers have a 30-39 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Astros are 14-52. The Rangers have an 18-53 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 13th in home runs, Texas has hit 162 this season. Houston ranks second with 216 home runs.
Ranking 14th, Houston is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.28 per game. Texas ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.76.
Houston and Texas both rank in the top 10 of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Houston sits at sixth with an OPS of .745 and Texas ranks eighth with an OPS of .741.
When the Rangers allow at least one home run, they are 42-53. When the Astros allow one or more homers, they have a 31-52 record.