Henry Owens (3-3, 4.41 ERA) and Ubaldo Jimenez (12-9, 4.16 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (74-80) and the Baltimore Orioles (76-78) at Fenway Park. The Red Sox won the last game 8-0 and Boston leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 27 and can be seen on NESN and MASN.
Owens pitched 7.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs (one unearned), striking out five and walking two in a 5-2 defeat to the Rays. David Ortiz (.270, 70 Rs, 36 HRs, 104 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run and three RBIs. Jimenez went 6.0 innings, surrendering zero runs (one unearned), striking out five and walking five in a 4-1 win over the Nationals in his last outing.
Baltimore is a slim -115 favorite over Boston. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of nine runs. The Red Sox have an overall money line of -883 and a record as the underdog of 35-38. Boston has gone 5-2 in its last 10 as underdog.
In games where it is the favorite, Baltimore has a 44-36 record and an overall money line of -438. They are 18-13 as the favorite against teams in their division, and 34-33 SU. The Orioles allow 4.2 runs per game, but does worse whenever another team from the AL East Division is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 4.7 against division foes.
The Orioles lead the season series, 11-7. The Red Sox have a 53-57 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Jimenez takes the mound. Owens (LHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 22-21 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Bos, O/U - Over
The Orioles are an even 34-34 against the division, while the Red Sox sit at 31-40.
Baltimore recorded at least two errors for the 15th time this season.
The Red Sox managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Orioles who are coming in with a 12-10 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Red Sox have a slight leg up on the Orioles, as the Red Sox have won their last two games while the Orioles have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 56-13. The Red Sox have a 59-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th, Baltimore sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 672 this season. Boston ranks in the top five at third with 718.
Ranking 25th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 392 this season. Boston ranks in the top half at 14th with 457.
The Red Sox are 55-44 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Orioles are 65-41 when they hit at least one homer.