John Lackey (13-9, 2.74 ERA) takes the mound for the St. Louis Cardinals (98-57) as they meet Tyler Cravy (0-8, 6.21 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (65-90) in the last of a four-game series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals won the last game 5-1 and St. Louis leads the series 2-1. The game starts at 2:15 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 27 and will air on FSWI and FSMW.
In his last start, Lackey pitched 7.0 innings, allowing one run and striking out seven in a 3-1 victory over the Reds. The Brewers were unsuccessful to the Cubs 4-0 the last time Cravy pitched. He went 4.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out three and walking two.
St. Louis is a heavy -245 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Cardinals perform well as a favorite with an 82-38 record and have an overall money line of +2,612. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (6-2). They have been very patient at the plate, ranking fifth in the NL with an average of 3.1 walks per game. St. Louis's pitching staff can be considered for best in its league, with an NL-low 2.87 team ERA.
Switching gears, the Brewers come into this game with a win percentage of .402 when playing as the underdog (39-58) and an overall money line of -2,117. Against divisional foes, they are 30-41 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 22-31 record.
The Cardinals had the upper hand against the Brewers in their previous 18 games this season, earning a 13-5 record. This game will feature Cravy (RHP) on the mound against the Cardinals, who have a 42-16 home and 74-39 overall record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander Lackey. They sport a 46-70 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - StL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals sit at 44-28 against their divisional rivals, while the Brewers are 30-42.
The Cardinals are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Brewers have a 5-11 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 10-70. The Cardinals have a 24-39 record when opponents outhit them.
St. Louis and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. St. Louis sits at 26th with 131 home runs this season and Milwaukee ranks 21st with 139.
St. Louis and Milwaukee both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. St. Louis sits at sixth with 8.63 hits per game and Milwaukee ranks eighth with 8.61.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.708). St. Louis ranks in the bottom half at 18th with an OPS of .720.
The Brewers are 37-65 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cardinals are 41-41 when they allow at least one homer.