Randy Wolf (0-4, 5.91 ERA) and Ervin Santana (6-4, 4.31 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Detroit Tigers (72-82) and the Minnesota Twins (79-75) at Comerica Park. The Twins won the last game 6-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:08 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 27 and can be seen on FSDT and FSN.
Wolf pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out six and walking four in a 3-2 defeat to the White Sox. J.D. Martinez (.284, 89 Rs, 37 HRs, 98 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. Santana went 7.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out seven and walking one in a 3-1 win over the Indians in his last outing. Brian Dozier (.240, 100 Rs, 28 HRs, 73 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Minnesota takes on Detroit as a -123 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at nine runs. The Tigers have an overall money line of -669 and a record as the underdog of 35-51. Detroit has a disheartening record as underdog (17-21) against division opponents, but comes in with a more encouraging 40-30 SU record. The Tigers lead the MLB in batting average with a phenomenal team average of .271.
In games where it is the favorite, Minnesota has a 18-16 record and an overall money line of +1,847. They played poorly as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 1-5 record, and a 3-7 record SU.
The Tigers lead the season series, 11-7. The Tigers have a 52-66 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Santana takes the mound. Wolf (LHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a 27-27 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Det, O/U - Over
The Tigers hold a 40-31 record this season against teams in the AL Central Division. The Twins' record in these matchups is 36-32.
The Tigers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Twins have a 15-30 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 8-57. The Twins have a 16-62 record when opponents outhit them.
Detroit ranks in the bottom half of the league at 17th when it comes to home runs, hitting 146 this season. Minnesota ranks in the top half at 15th with 150.
Ranking first in hits, Detroit has earned 9.42 per game this season. Minnesota ranks 13th with 8.37 hits.
Ranking 23rd, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.709). Detroit ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .750.
When the Twins allow at least one home run, they are 42-57. When the Tigers allow one or more homers, they have a 35-65 record.