Tom Koehler (10-14, 3.94 ERA) and Shelby Miller (5-16, 3.00 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (68-87) and the Atlanta Braves (62-93) at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 6-2 and Miami leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 27 and can be seen on FSFL and FSSO.
Koehler pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs (one unearned), striking out five and walking three in a 6-2 defeat to the Phillies. Justin Bour (.266, 39 Rs, 21 HRs, 68 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Miller went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out three and walking four in a 4-0 defeat to the Mets in his most recent start.
Miami is a -132 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Marlins have an overall money line of -1,319 and a record as the favorite of 28-29. Miami is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Marlins have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 4.9 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.8 runs per game. The Marlins are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with an impressive 8.7 per game. Miami is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 107 bases.
In the other locker room, Atlanta is coming in with an overall money line of -1,871 and a disappointing record of 44-78 as the underdog. They are 20-29 as the underdog against NL East rivals, and 32-39 SU. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.9 per game.
The Braves lead the season series, 10-8. The Marlins have a 54-70 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Miller takes the mound. Koehler (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 51-71 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Mia, O/U - Under
The Marlins and the Braves both sit at records of 32-40 this season against teams in the NL East Division.
The Marlins managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Braves who are coming in with a 7-10 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Marlins have a slight leg up on the Braves, as the Marlins have won their last four games while the Braves have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 43-19. The Marlins have a 49-21 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th in runs, Atlanta has earned 552 this season. Miami ranks 29th with 583 runs.
Ranking 29th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 360 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 15th with 456.
The Marlins are 42-42 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Braves are 36-33 when they hit at least one homer.