James Shields (13-6, 3.86 ERA), attempting to pick up his 200th strikeout of the season, starts for the San Diego Padres (73-82) as they square off against Zack Godley (5-1, 3.48 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (74-81) in the last of a three-game series at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 3-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 27 and can be seen on FSAZ and FSSD.
Shields pitched 6.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out eight and walking four in a 10-4 win over the Rockies. Matt Kemp (.266, 80 Rs, 23 HRs, 99 RBIs, 12 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. Godley went 1.1 innings, surrendering one run and striking out one in a 6-4 defeat to the Padres in his most recent start.
San Diego is a -146 favorite against Arizona and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -1,352 and a record as the favorite of 38-32. Within its division, San Diego has a 19-12 record as favorite and a 34-37 record SU. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Padres, who rank third in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.5.
In games where it is the underdog, Arizona has a 41-50 record and an overall money line of -116. They are 19-23 as the underdog against NL West rivals, and 35-36 SU. Offensively, they average 4.5 runs per game, which is tops in the NL. The Diamondbacks are tough outs for opponents, leading the NL with 9.2 hits per game. The Diamondbacks are an excellent base stealing team with 127 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB. The Diamondbacks allow 4.3 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.0 runs per game during that span.
The Padres lead the season series, 10-8. The Padres have a 55-63 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Godley takes the mound. Shields (RHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have a 55-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Ari, O/U - Over
The Padres and the Diamondbacks both have a 35-37 record against the division.
When leading after 7 innings, Arizona is 28-27, while San Diego is 38-39.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Diamondbacks are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Padres have a 6-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 52-20. The Padres have a 55-17 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 19th, San Diego is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 636 this season. Arizona ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 689.
Ranking 23rd, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 403 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half at 12th with 462.
When the Padres hit at least one home run, they are 51-36. When the Diamondbacks hit at least one homer, they have a 54-35 record.