Colby Lewis (17-8, 4.36 ERA) and the Texas Rangers (84-71) go up against Justin Verlander (4-8, 3.49 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (72-83) in the first of a three-game series at Globe Life Park in Arlington. The game starts at 8:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 28 and will air on FSDT and FSSW.
In his last start, Lewis pitched 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out three and walking two in a 10-3 victory over the Athletics. Rougned Odor (.269, 52 Rs, 15 HRs, 58 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. The Tigers were victorious over the White Sox 7-4 the last time Verlander pitched. He went 7.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out eight and walking three. Yoenis Cespedes (.293, 100 Rs, 35 HRs, 105 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
Texas is a -126 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Rangers perform well as a favorite with a 25-16 record and have an overall money line of +3,044. The Rangers come into the game with the fourth-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 4.6 runs per game. The Rangers are a superb hitting team with 8.8 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the AL. The Rangers typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.1 walks per game.
On the other side, the Tigers have a record of 35-52 when they are the underdog and are -769 overall with the money line. The Tigers rank third in the AL in road scoring, averaging four runs per game. Detroit is the top hitting team in the league, converting .271 of their at-bats for hits.
In their previous four games this season, the Rangers have a 3-1 record. This game will feature Verlander (RHP) on the mound against the Rangers, who have a 53-42 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Lewis will take the mound against the Tigers, who have a 52-67 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tex, O/U - Over
Detroit has won 48% (35-38) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Texas has won 49% (34-35) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Tigers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Rangers have a 30-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Tigers are 60-20. The Rangers have a 63-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 15th in runs, Detroit has earned 664 this season. Texas ranks fourth with 709 runs.
Ranking 19th, Detroit is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 434 this season. Texas ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 474.
When the Rangers hit at least one home run, they are 62-29. When the Tigers hit at least one homer, they have a 52-35 record.