Roenis Elias (5-8, 3.94 ERA) and Lance McCullers (5-7, 3.22 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Seattle Mariners (74-82) and the Houston Astros (82-74) at Safeco Field. The Mariners come into this series hoping to snap a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 28 and can be seen on RTNW, RTSW and MLBN.
Elias pitched 5.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run, striking out six and walking four in a 4-3 defeat to the Royals. McCullers went 7.0 innings, surrendering three runs and striking out nine in a 4-3 defeat to the Angels in his last outing. Evan Gattis (.245, 64 Rs, 26 HRs, 86 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Houston takes on Seattle as a -130 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Mariners have an overall money line of -1,630 and a record as the underdog of 32-36. Within its division, Seattle has a 20-17 as the underdog and a 37-32 SU. The Mariners are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 191. Turning to the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Mariners, who rank fifth in the AL in strikeouts per game with 7.9.
In games where it is the favorite, Houston has a 52-43 record and an overall money line of -410. They are 20-26 as the favorite against AL West opponents, and 36-37 SU. The Astros have a dynamic offense, ranking second in the league with 501 extra base hits. The Astros are an excellent base stealing team with 114 stolen bases, ranking third in the MLB. Houston's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an AL-low 3.53 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Astros are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season.
The Astros lead the season series, 10-6. The Mariners have a 52-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when McCullers takes the mound. Elias (LHP) will be on the hill against the Astros, who have a 29-28 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Hou, O/U - Over
The Mariners hold a 37-33 record this season against teams in the AL West Division. The Astros' record in these matchups is 36-37.
The Mariners are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Astros have a 6-10 record when opponents give up that many walks.
It looks like the Astros have a slight leg up on the Mariners, as the Astros have won their last two games while the Mariners have lost their last five.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 49-21. The Astros have a 60-18 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 22nd in runs, Seattle has earned 632 this season. Houston ranks ninth with 685 runs.
Seattle and Houston both rank in the top half of the league in walks. Seattle sits at 13th with 462 this season and Houston ranks 12th with 466.
When the Mariners hit at least one home run, they are 63-49. When the Astros hit at least one homer, they have a 69-45 record.