Corey Kluber (8-15, 3.55 ERA) is on the hill for the Cleveland Indians (77-77) as they square off against Phil Hughes (11-9, 4.43 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (80-75) in the first of a four-game series at Progressive Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 28 and can be seen on STOh and FSN.
Kluber pitched 3.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out six and walking two in a 4-2 defeat to the Twins. Francisco Lindor (.320, 47 Rs, 10 HRs, 47 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Hughes went 5.0 innings, surrendering zero runs and striking out four in a 4-2 win over the Indians in his last outing. Brian Dozier (.242, 101 Rs, 28 HRs, 75 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run and two RBIs.
Cleveland is a -167 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Indians have an overall money line of -1,167 and a record as the favorite of 51-47. Cleveland has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 19-29 and 31-39 as the favorite and SU respectively. The Indians have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game. The Indians are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 9.3 per game. Cleveland's batters do not strike out very often, with only 7.2 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, the Indians are the third-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.19 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.8.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 60-59 record and an overall money line of +1,947. They are 26-25 as the underdog against AL Central foes, and 36-32 SU.
The Twins lead the season series, 9-6. The Indians have a 55-46 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hughes takes the mound. Kluber (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a 52-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Cle, O/U - Over
The Indians hold a 31-40 record this season against teams in the AL Central Division. The Twins' record in these matchups is 37-32.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Indians are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Twins have a 12-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Indians are 11-57. The Twins have a 16-62 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 23rd in home runs, Cleveland has hit 134 this season. Minnesota ranks 15th with 151 home runs.
Ranking 13th, Minnesota is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.38 per game. Cleveland ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.71.
Ranking 22nd, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.710). Cleveland ranks in the top half at 13th with an OPS of .727.
When the Twins allow at least one home run, they are 42-57, well-matched with the Indians who are 45-60 when allowing at least one homer.