David Buchanan (2-9, 7.96 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (59-97) meet Bartolo Colon (14-12, 4.15 ERA) and the New York Mets (89-67) in the first of a three-game division series at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Sep. 29 and will air on CSPh and SNY.
In his last start, Buchanan pitched 5.0 innings, allowing one and striking out three in a 4-3 loss to the Marlins. Jeff Francoeur (.260, 33 Rs, 13 HRs, 45 RBIs) continued his strong season Sunday, going 3 for 5 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. The Mets were unsuccessful to the Braves 6-3 the last time Colon pitched. He went 6.1 innings, allowing three runs, striking out one and walking one. Yoenis Cespedes (.293, 100 Rs, 35 HRs, 105 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 5 Sunday.
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. Against teams in the NL East, the Phillies have an SU record of 26-44. Over their past 10 games, Philadelphia's pitchers have been playing lights out, only allowing 3.4 runs per game, below their season average of 5.0.
Against teams in their division, the Mets are 46-24 SU. They sport the top-ranked offense in the NL, averaging four runs per game. New York is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.1 hits per contest. Switching gears to New York's pitching staff, they have the fourth-lowest ERA in the NL at 3.51. They have a WHIP of 1.19, second best in the MLB.
The Mets had the upper hand against the Phillies in their previous 16 games this season, earning a 14-2 record. This game will feature Colon (RHP) on the mound against the Phillies, who have a 45-76 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Buchanan will take the mound against the Mets, who have a 71-52 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM
The Mets sit at 46-24 against the division, while the Phillies are 26-44
The Phillies are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 12 runs. The Mets have a 0-2 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 18-74. The Mets have a 19-55 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 28th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 125 this season. New York ranks eighth with 172 home runs.
Both Philadelphia and New York are tied at 10th in hits, notching 8.47 per game.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.682). New York ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .720.
When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 41-50. When the Phillies allow one or more homers, they have a 30-71 record.