Matt Moore (2-4, 6.48 ERA) and Adam Conley (4-1, 3.93 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Tampa Bay Rays (75-81) and the Miami Marlins (69-87) at Tropicana Field. The Marlins come into this series hoping to extend a five-game winning streak. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Sep. 29 and can be seen on SUN and FSFL.
Moore pitched 6.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 5-2 win over the Red Sox. Logan Forsythe (.281, 69 Rs, 17 HRs, 68 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 4 Sunday with one RBI. Conley went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out eight and walking one in a 4-3 defeat to the Phillies in his most recent start. Justin Bour (.268, 41 Rs, 23 HRs, 71 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Marlins, going 2 for 4 Sunday with two runs, two home runs, and three RBIs.
The odds for Tampa Bay and Miami are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. In interleague play, the Rays have an 11-6 record SU. The Rays have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.3 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.9 runs per game. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Rays, who have a team ERA of only 3.76.
Miami is 7-10 SU against teams in the AL. Offensively, the Marlins have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 4.9 during that stretch. The Marlins are an excellent base stealing team with 110 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB. The Marlins allow 4.2 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.4 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Marlins are third in the NL on the road with an average of 8.2 hits allowed per away game.
The Rays lead the season series, 2-1. The Rays have a 28-22 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Conley takes the mound. Moore (LHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 13-17 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB
Miami has won 42% (33-45) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Tampa Bay has won 48% (30-33) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Marlins managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Rays who are heading in with a 6-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 14-57. The Rays have a 13-49 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 29th in home runs, Miami has hit 118 this season. Tampa Bay ranks 14th with 157 home runs.
Ranking 11th, Tampa Bay is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.51 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.76.
Ranking 26th, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.697). Tampa Bay ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .719.
The Marlins are 30-58 when they allow at least one home run. The Rays perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 35-61 record.