Miguel Gonzalez (9-11, 4.85 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (76-80) go up against Marcus Stroman (3-0, 1.89 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (91-65) in the second of a four-game division series at Camden Yards. The Blue Jays won the last game 4-3, extending a five-game winning streak. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Sep. 29 and will air on MAS2 and RSN.
In his most recent outing, Gonzalez pitched 5.1 innings, allowing four runs, striking out three and walking two in a 6-0 loss to the Rangers. The Blue Jays were victorious over the Yankees 4-0 the last time Stroman pitched. He went 7.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out five and walking one. Jose Bautista (.252, 106 Rs, 39 HRs, 111 RBIs, 8 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Baltimore is a +124 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. When playing as the underdog, the Orioles have a 32-41 record and overall money line at -675. Over the last 10 games, they have had a very good record when playing as the underdog (4-1). Baltimore has been struggling as of late. In the last 10 games, Baltimore has only averaged 3.1 runs per game compared to the 4.3 they've averaged on the season. The Orioles rank fourth in the majors in home runs with 205. Baltimore's pitchers struggle within their division. The Orioles have given up an average of 4.7 runs to intra-division opponents, well over their defense's season average of 4.3.
Across the field, the Blue Jays have a nice record of 70-36 when they are favored and are +1,130 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 7-3 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 7-3 record. The Blue Jays are the number one overall scoring offense in the AL, averaging 5.5 runs per game so far. The Blue Jays are known for their bats, hitting a league-leading 533 extra base hits. Toronto has an eye for the strike zone, averaging an AL-best 3.5 walks per game. Shifting to the pitching staff, they allow just 8.4 hits per game, good for fourth in the AL.
The Blue Jays have mostly come out on top against the Orioles in their previous 16 games this season, earning a 10-6 record. The Orioles will take on a right-hander (Stroman) in this game and have a 54-57 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Blue Jays will be the right-hander Gonzalez. They sport a 70-51 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tor, O/U - Over
The Orioles are 34-36 against their divisional rivals, while the Blue Jays are 40-30 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Toronto is 41-26, while Baltimore is 28-25.
The Blue Jays are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Orioles have a 21-30 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 13-61. The Blue Jays have a 13-53 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking first in home runs, Toronto has hit 223 this season. Baltimore ranks fourth with 205 home runs.
Ranking 12th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.42 per game. Toronto ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.05.
Ranking first in on-base plus slugging percentage, Toronto has an OPS of .796 this season. Baltimore ranks 16th with an OPS of .721.
When the Blue Jays allow at least one home run, they are 53-46. When the Orioles allow one or more homers, they have a 43-58 record.