This game could be low scoring as Gerrit Cole (18-8, 2.60 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (95-62) go up against Michael Wacha (17-6, 3.15 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (99-58) in the second of a three-game series at PNC Park. The Cardinals won the last game 3-0 and St. Louis leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 1:35 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 30 and will air on RTPT and FSMW.
In his most recent outing, Cole pitched 7.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out eight and walking two in a 3-2 victory over the Cubs. Andrew McCutchen (.293, 88 Rs, 22 HRs, 95 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 3 Monday with one stolen base. The Cardinals were also victorious the last time Wacha pitched. He went 5.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out one and walking three in a 7-3 victory over the Brewers. Matt Carpenter (.267, 96 Rs, 27 HRs, 83 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 4 Monday with one run.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable at the moment. The Pirates have a SU record of 31-40 against teams in their division. Teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Pirates, who allow only 3.7 runs per game. They have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out at PNC Park, averaging 8.5 strikeouts per home game.
Against fellow NL Central members, the Cardinals are 45-29 SU. The Cardinals are a problem for opposing batters, sporting an NL-low 2.88 ERA this season.
The Cardinals have mostly come out on top against the Pirates in their previous 17 games this season, earning a 9-8 record. The Pirates will take on a left-hander (Wacha) in this game and have an 18-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Cole will take the mound against the Cardinals. Against righty starters this season, they've racked up an impressive 75-40 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - Pit
St. Louis 7-2-1 SU in its last 10 games.
St. Louis 6-2-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road.
St. Louis is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games, when playing Pittsburgh.
The Cardinals hold a 45-29 record in matchups against NL Central Division rivals, while the Pirates currently sit at 31-40 in these games.
When leading after 7 innings, St. Louis is 33-24, while Pittsburgh is 37-34.
After a weak showing last week where they got in six hits, the Cardinals need to step it up. The Pirates have a record of 37-11 when opponents get six hits or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cardinals are 59-17. The Pirates have a 68-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th, St. Louis sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 634 this season. Pittsburgh ranks in the top half at 12th with 677.
Ranking 17th, Pittsburgh is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 446 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 491.
When the Pirates hit at least one home run, they are 62-28, well-matched with the Cardinals who are 65-25 when hitting one or more homers.