Alec Asher (0-5, 7.52 ERA) and Logan Verrett (1-2, 3.40 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (60-97) and the New York Mets (89-68) at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies won the last game 4-3 and Philadelphia leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 30 and can be seen on CSPh and SNY.
Asher pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run, striking out four and walking one in a 1-0 defeat to the Marlins. Jeff Francoeur (.260, 33 Rs, 13 HRs, 45 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 5 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Verrett went 5.0 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking one in a 6-2 defeat to the Braves in his last outing. Lucas Duda (.249, 66 Rs, 27 HRs, 73 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 3 for 5 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and three RBIs.
New York is favored (-184) over Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at nine runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -987 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 54-89. Philadelphia has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 23-41 and 27-44 as the underdog and SU respectively. Philadelphia's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.5 runs per game, well under their season average of 5.0.
As for their opponent, New York is coming in with an overall money line of +1,040 and an impressive record of 71-31 as the favorite. They have been playing solid baseball as favorite with a 39-17 record against teams in their division, and a 46-25 record SU. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is the best in the NL. The Mets are tough outs for opponents, ranking fourth in the NL with 9.1 hits per road game. New York's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.51 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.19 for the season.
The Mets have controlled the season series, 14-3. The Phillies have a 46-76 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Verrett takes the mound. Asher (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 71-53 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games.
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games on the road.
NY Mets are 11-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia.
NY Mets are 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Philadelphia.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
NY Mets are 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
The Mets hold a 46-25 record against the NL East Division this season, while the Phillies have a 27-44 record against the division.
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 38-26, while Philadelphia is 31-43.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Phillies have a 4-13 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 37-16. The Mets have a 63-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th in runs, Philadelphia has earned 601 this season. New York ranks 14th with 676 runs.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 369 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 477.
The Phillies are 42-44 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Mets are 62-29 when they hit at least one homer.