Andrew Cashner (6-15, 4.21 ERA) and Zach Davies (2-2, 4.67 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (73-84) and the Milwaukee Brewers (67-90) at Petco Park. The Brewers won the last game 4-3 and Milwaukee leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 30 and can be seen on FSWI and FSSD.
Cashner pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out six and walking five in a 5-4 defeat to the Giants. Justin Upton (.251, 85 Rs, 26 HRs, 81 RBIs, 19 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Davies went 6.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out four and walking one in a 4-1 win over the Cubs in his most recent start. Khris Davis (.247, 52 Rs, 26 HRs, 65 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one run.
San Diego is a -148 favorite against Milwaukee and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -1,562 and a record as the favorite of 39-34.
In games where it is the underdog, Milwaukee has a 41-59 record and an overall money line of -1,850.
The Brewers lead the season series, 4-1. The Padres have a 56-65 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Davies takes the mound. Cashner (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 48-70 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Mil, O/U - Over
Milwaukee is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games.
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Milwaukee's last 25 games.
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 21 games on the road.
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego.
San Diego has won 49% (38-40) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Milwaukee has won 49% (37-38) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Padres have a 34-49 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 12-70. The Padres have an 11-59 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling in the bottom half of the league based on total home runs this season, San Diego ranks 19th with 145 homers and Milwaukee is 20th with 143.
Ranking 14th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.25 per game. Milwaukee ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.59.
San Diego and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. San Diego sits at 28th with an OPS of .690 and Milwaukee ranks 24th with an OPS of .709.
The Brewers are 38-65 when they allow at least one home run. The Padres perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 40-61 record.