In the last of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (73-85) and the Milwaukee Brewers (68-90) at Petco Park, Ian Kennedy (8-15, 4.38 ERA) and Taylor Jungmann (9-7, 3.64 ERA) get the ball. The Brewers won the last game 5-0 and Milwaukee leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 6:40 p.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 1 and will air on FSSD.
In his last start, Kennedy pitched 5.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out five and walking two in a 5-4 loss to the Giants. Matt Kemp (.265, 80 Rs, 23 HRs, 100 RBIs, 12 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one RBI. The Brewers were unsuccessful the last time Jungmann pitched. He struggled, going 5.0 innings, allowing six runs, striking out five and walking three in a 7-3 loss to the Cardinals. Khris Davis (.249, 53 Rs, 26 HRs, 65 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Brewers, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
San Diego, a -140 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Milwaukee. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Padres are 39-35 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -1,703. An area where the Padres are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average an NL-best 9.2 K's per home game.
On the other side, the Brewers have a record of 42-59 when they are the underdog and are -1,719 overall with the money line.
The Brewers had the upper hand against the Padres in their previous six games this season, earning a 5-1 record. The Padres will take on a right-hander (Jungmann) in this game and have a 56-66 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Kennedy will take the mound against the Brewers, who have a 49-70 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Mil, O/U - Over
Milwaukee is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games.
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 22 games on the road.
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego.
After last game's shutout win against the San Diego, the Brewers now have seven shutouts this season. The Padres have been shut out in 19 games this season.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Padres are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Brewers have a 7-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
It looks like the Brewers have a slight leg up on the Padres, as the Brewers have won their last three games while the Padres have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Padres are 55-18. The Brewers have a 50-12 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th in runs, San Diego has earned 641 this season. Milwaukee ranks 19th with 652 runs.
San Diego and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. San Diego sits at 23rd with 415 this season and Milwaukee ranks 24th with 408.
The Padres are 51-36 when they hit at least one home run. The Brewers perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 51-39 record.