Derek Holland (3-3, 4.99 ERA) and Andrew Heaney (6-3, 3.29 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a four-game series between the Texas Rangers (86-72) and the Los Angeles Angels (83-75) at Globe Life Park in Arlington. Action begins at 8:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 1 and can be seen on FSW and FSSW.
Holland pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out one and walking two in a 9-7 defeat to the Astros. Shin-soo Choo (.276, 90 Rs, 21 HRs, 79 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Heaney went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out five and walking two in a 3-2 defeat to the Mariners in his last outing. Mike Trout (.299, 101 Rs, 41 HRs, 89 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Angels, going 3 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, one RBI, and one stolen base.
Texas is a -130 favorite against Los Angeles and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Rangers have recorded an overall money line of +3,005 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 27-17. Texas is an impressive 5-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Rangers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.6 runs per game.
In the other locker room, in contrast to an encouraging overall money line (+237), Los Angeles has an unimpressive 26-43 record when playing as the underdog. They are 15-16 as the underdog against AL West opponents, and 42-30 SU. Los Angeles is excellent at not striking out with just 7.1 per game, ranking fourth in the AL.
The Angels lead the season series, 10-5. The Rangers have a 33-29 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Heaney takes the mound. Holland (LHP) will be on the hill against the Angels, who have a 24-20 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tex, O/U - Over
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games.
LA Angels are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
LA Angels are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Texas.
LA Angels are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing Texas.
LA Angels are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Texas.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas.
Texas is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against LA Angels.
The Angels lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Rangers are 27-20. The Angels are 33-17 in close games this season.
Texas has won 49% (34-36) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Los Angeles has won 62% (40-25) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Angels managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Rangers who are heading in with a 5-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Angels are 59-16. The Rangers have a 63-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd in runs, Los Angeles has earned 643 this season. Texas ranks fourth with 726 runs.
Ranking 21st, Los Angeles is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 424 this season. Texas ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 485.
When the Rangers hit at least one home run, they are 64-30, well-matched with the Angels who are 64-38 when hitting one or more homers.