Patrick Corbin (6-5, 3.28 ERA) and David Hale (5-5, 6.01 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (77-81) and the Colorado Rockies (66-92) at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 3-1 and Arizona leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 9:40 p.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 1 and can be seen on RTRM and FSAZ.
Corbin pitched 4.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking three in a 6-3 defeat to the Dodgers. David Peralta (.310, 61 Rs, 17 HRs, 78 RBIs, 9 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 2 with one RBI. Hale went 5.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out four and walking two in a 7-4 win over the Dodgers in his most recent start. Nolan Arenado (.287, 93 Rs, 41 HRs, 127 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Rockies, going 2 for 3 yesterday.
This one isn't expected to be close when Arizona, a big -190 favorite, takes on Colorado. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of +109 and a record as the favorite of 35-30. Arizona is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 6-4 SU record in its last ten outings. The Diamondbacks have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the NL in offense with 4.4 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with an impressive 9.2 per game. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 129 bases. Arizona's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.1 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.3.
Over in the other dugout, Colorado is coming in with an overall money line of -1,340 and a disappointing record of 47-72 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-7 record, and a 3-7 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.5 runs per game, which is tops in the NL. The Rockies have a dynamic offense, ranking third in the league with 492 extra base hits.
The Diamondbacks lead the season series, 12-6. The Diamondbacks have a 58-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hale takes the mound. Corbin (LHP) will be on the hill against the Rockies, who have inferior records against left-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 4-14 and 10-28, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner - Ari, O/U - Over
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games.
Colorado is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road.
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Arizona.
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona.
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona.
Colorado has won 44% (31-39) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Arizona has won 53% (30-27) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Rockies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Diamondbacks have a 25-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Rockies are 11-68. The Diamondbacks have a 15-52 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 17th in home runs, Arizona has hit 149 this season. Colorado ranks seventh with 182 home runs.
Arizona and Colorado both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Arizona sits at second with 9.19 hits per game and Colorado ranks third with 9.15.
Ranking ninth, Arizona is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.738). Colorado ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .750.
The Rockies are 34-70 when they allow at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 37-68 record.