Ryan Weber (0-2, 5.91 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (64-94) meet Stephen Strasburg (10-7, 3.63 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (80-78) in the last of a three-game division series at Turner Field. The Braves won the last game 2-0 and Atlanta leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 1 and will air on SPSO and MASN.
In his most recent outing, Weber pitched 2.0 innings, giving up seven runs and walking one in a 12-11 loss to the Marlins. The Nationals were unsuccessful to the Phillies 2-1 the last time Strasburg pitched. He went 8.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out 13 and walking one. Ryan Zimmerman (.249, 43 Rs, 16 HRs, 73 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
The Over/Under (O/U) for this game is set at seven runs and Atlanta is a heavy +161 underdog. The Braves perform poorly as an underdog with a 46-79 record and have an overall money line of -1,816. They have a SU record of 34-41 against teams in their division and a 22-30 record when they were the underdog in those games.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Nationals come into this game with a win percentage of .563 when playing as the favorite (67-52) and an overall money line of -2,139. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 3-7 SU and have played poorly as the favorite with a 3-7 record. They sport the third-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Washington has an eye for the strike zone, ranking 3.4 in the NL with third walks per game. Washington's pitching staff tends to perform well when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 3.5 runs per game against teams from the NL East, lower than their season average of 4.0. They also allow just 2.2 walks per game, good for tops in the NL.
The Nationals had the upper hand against the Braves in their previous 18 games this season, earning a 13-5 record. This game will feature Strasburg (RHP) on the mound against the Braves, who have a 53-73 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Weber will take the mound against the Nationals, who have a 60-62 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Was, O/U - Under
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games.
Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games on the road.
Washington is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road.
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
Washington is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Atlanta.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing Atlanta.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
Atlanta earned its seventh shutout of the season in its last game. Washington has been shut out 11 times this season.
The Braves are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Nationals have a record of 16-9 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
It looks like the Braves have a slight leg up on the Nationals, as the Braves have won their last two games while the Nationals have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 43-19. The Nationals have a 63-12 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 561 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 695.
Ranking 16th, Atlanta is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 464 this season. Washington ranks in the top five at fifth with 533.
The Braves are 37-34 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Nationals are 62-40 when they hit at least one homer.