Tyler Wilson (2-2, 3.60 ERA) and Drew Hutchison (13-4, 5.33 ERA) start in the last of a four-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (77-81) and the Toronto Blue Jays (92-66) at Camden Yards. The Orioles won the last game 8-1 and Toronto leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 12:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 1 and can be seen on MAS2 and RSN.
Wilson pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out four and walking two in a 5-4 defeat to the Nationals. Chris Davis (.257, 95 Rs, 45 HRs, 112 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, two home runs, and two RBIs. Hutchison went 0.0 inning, surrendering zero runs and walking one in a 6-4 defeat to the Yankees in his last outing. Josh Donaldson (.300, 122 Rs, 41 HRs, 123 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Blue Jays, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
The odds for Baltimore and Toronto are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable as of now. Within its division, Baltimore has a record of 35-37 SU. The Orioles have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game. The Orioles are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 210. Baltimore's pitchers fall apart when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 4.8 against fellow AL East members, compared to its 4.3 season average.
The Blue Jays are 41-31 against fellow AL East members. Offensively, they average 5.5 runs per game, which is tops in the AL. The Blue Jays are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the AL with 9.1 hits per road game. Toronto is excellent at drawing walks with an AL-best 3.5 per game. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Blue Jays are fourth in the AL with an average of 8.4 hits allowed per game.
The Blue Jays lead the season series, 11-7. The Orioles have a 55-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hutchison takes the mound. Wilson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have a 72-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tor
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Toronto's last 21 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Baltimore.
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore.
The Orioles hold a 35-37 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Blue Jays' record in these matchups is 41-31.
The Orioles are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Blue Jays have a 26-29 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 13-62. The Blue Jays have a 13-54 record when opponents outhit them.
Toronto tops the league in home runs with 227 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top five at third with 210.
Ranking 12th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.40 per game. Toronto ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.08.
Toronto tops the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .799 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top half at 15th with an OPS of .723.
When the Blue Jays allow at least one home run, they are 54-47. When the Orioles allow one or more homers, they have a 44-59 record.