Jaime Garcia (10-5, 2.36 ERA) gets the start for the St. Louis Cardinals (100-59) as they go up against Julio Teheran (10-8, 4.16 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (64-95) in the first of a three-game series at Turner Field. The game starts at 7:35 p.m. ET on Friday, Oct. 2 and will air on FSSO and FSMW.
In his last start, Teheran pitched 6.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out three and walking four in a 6-2 loss to the Marlins. The Cardinals were victorious over the Brewers 5-1 the last time Garcia pitched. He went 8.0 innings, allowing one run and striking out eight. Matt Carpenter (.271, 101 Rs, 28 HRs, 84 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Cardinals, going 2 for 3 Wednesday with three runs.
Atlanta is a +129 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Braves perform poorly as an underdog with a 46-80 record and have an overall money line of -1,916. They have been very patient at the plate during home games, ranking fifth in the NL with an average of 3.1 walks per game.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Cardinals come into this game with a solid win percentage of .680 when playing as the favorite (83-39) and an overall money line of +2,634. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 7-3 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 5-2 record. The Cardinals average 3.1 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL. The Cardinals are a problem for opposing batters, sporting an NL-low 2.90 ERA this season. They also allow just 8.4 hits per game, good for fourth in the NL.
The Cardinals are 2-1 against the Braves this season. This game will feature Garcia (LHP) on the mound against the Braves, who have an 11-21 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Cardinals will be the right-hander Teheran. Right-handed starters haven't been a big issue for them as they sport a 76-41 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - StL, O/U - Under
In their last game, the Cardinals won by a margin of 10 runs. The Braves are 1-5 in games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more. The Cardinals have a 2-1 record in blowouts.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Braves are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Cardinals have a 15-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 12-69. The Cardinals have a 24-40 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 96 this season. St. Louis ranks 24th with 137 home runs.
Ranking 12th, Atlanta is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.41 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.64.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.673). St. Louis ranks in the bottom half at 16th with an OPS of .723.
The Cardinals are 41-43 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Braves are 27-72 when they allow at least one homer.