Ervin Santana (7-4, 4.10 ERA) and Chris Young (11-6, 3.15 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Minnesota Twins (83-76) and the Kansas City Royals (92-67) at Target Field. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Oct. 2 and can be seen on FSKC and FSN.
Santana pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking two in a 7-1 win over the Tigers. Eddie Rosario (.270, 59 Rs, 13 HRs, 50 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Young went 5.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out two and walking one in a 3-0 win over the Indians in his most recent start.
Minnesota is a narrow -115 favorite at home against Kansas City. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Twins have an overall money line of +2,356 and a record as the favorite of 20-16. Within its division, Minnesota has an 11-7 record as favorite and a 40-33 record SU. The Twins are the second-best team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.5 walks per game so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Kansas City has a 36-30 record and an overall money line of +1,499. They have been playing solid baseball as the underdog with a 16-11 record against fellow AL Central members, and a 40-32 record SU. The Royals are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the AL with 9.2 hits per game. The Royals are an excellent base stealing team with 102 stolen bases, ranking fifth in the MLB.
The Royals lead the season series, 9-7. The Twins have a 55-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Young takes the mound. Santana (RHP) will be on the hill against the Royals, who have a 62-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
The Twins are 40-33 against their divisional rivals, while the Royals are 41-32 against their division.
The Twins are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Royals have a 25-30 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Royals are 14-57. The Twins have a 17-63 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 22nd in home runs, Kansas City has hit 138 this season. Minnesota ranks 16th with 156 home runs.
Ranking 13th, Minnesota is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.39 per game. Kansas City ranks in the top five at third with 9.23.
Ranking 22nd, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.710). Kansas City ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .737.
The Royals are 41-51 when they allow at least one home run. The Twins perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 44-58 record.