Wei-Yin Chen (10-8, 3.35 ERA) and Ivan Nova (6-10, 4.89 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (78-81) and the New York Yankees (87-72) at Camden Yards. Action begins at 12:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Oct. 3 and can be seen on YES and MASN.
Chen pitched 5.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out seven and walking two in an 8-0 defeat to the Red Sox. Manny Machado (.287, 98 Rs, 33 HRs, 82 RBIs, 20 SBs) had another good game Thursday, going 3 for 4 with three runs, two home runs, three RBIs, and two stolen bases. Nova went 7.0 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 5-1 defeat to the Red Sox in his last outing. Alex Rodriguez (.252, 83 Rs, 33 HRs, 86 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 Thursday.
The odds for Baltimore and New York are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently not available. Within its division, Baltimore has a record of 36-37 SU. The Orioles have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game. Baltimore's pitchers fall apart when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 4.8 against fellow AL East members, compared to its 4.3 season average.
The Yankees are 38-35 against AL East opponents. Offensively, the Yankees have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.8 runs per game by averaging 3.3 during that stretch. The Yankees have a dynamic offense, ranking fourth in the league with 496 extra base hits. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.4 per game, ranking second in the AL. The Yankees have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.5 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Yankees lead the season series, 9-7. Chen (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 60-50 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY
The Orioles hold a 36-37 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Yankees' record in these matchups is 38-35.
The Orioles are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Yankees have a record of 13-21 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 14-62. The Yankees have a 20-57 record when opponents outhit them.
Tied at third for total home runs, Baltimore and New York have each hit 212 homers this season.
Ranking 12th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.40 per game. New York ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.65.
Ranking 15th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.725). New York ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .749.
The Yankees are 43-57 when they allow at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 44-59 record.