Aaron Harang (6-15, 4.86 ERA) and Tom Koehler (11-14, 4.00 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (62-97) and the Miami Marlins (69-90) at Citizens Bank Park. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Oct. 3 and can be seen on FSFL and CSPh.
Harang pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out two and walking one in a 12-5 defeat to the Nationals. Ryan Howard (.229, 53 Rs, 23 HRs, 77 RBIs) went 1 for 3 Thursday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Koehler went 6.2 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out two and walking five in a 9-5 win over the Braves in his most recent start.
The odds for Philadelphia and Miami are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. Within its division, Philadelphia has a record of 29-44 SU. Philadelphia's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.6 runs per game, well under their season average of 5.0.
The Marlins are 33-40 against NL East rivals. The Marlins are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 8.7 hits per game. The Marlins are an excellent base stealing team with 110 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB. The Marlins allow 4.2 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.4 runs per game during that span.
The Phillies lead the season series, 9-7. The Phillies have a 47-76 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Koehler takes the mound.
Predictions: SU Winner - Mia
The Phillies are struggling at 29-44 in their division, while the Marlins are 33-40.
When leading after 7 innings, Philadelphia is 31-43, while Miami is 33-46.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Marlins are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Phillies have a 16-4 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 14-59. The Phillies have a 19-74 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total home runs this season, Philadelphia ranks 28th with 128 homers and Miami is 29th with 118.
Ranking 10th, Philadelphia is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.47 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.73.
Philadelphia and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Philadelphia sits at 29th with an OPS of .683 and Miami ranks 26th with an OPS of .695.
The Marlins are 30-61 when they allow at least one home run. The Phillies perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 32-71 record.