In the second of a three-game series between the Minnesota Twins (83-77) and the Kansas City Royals (93-67) at Target Field, Tommy Milone (9-5, 4.04 ERA) and Yordano Ventura (12-8, 4.20 ERA) get the start. The Royals won the last game 3-1 and Kansas City leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Oct. 3 and will air on FOX.
In his last start, Milone pitched 5.2 innings, giving up two runs and striking out four in a 4-2 victory over the Indians. Eddie Rosario (.269, 60 Rs, 13 HRs, 50 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. The Royals were unsuccessful the last time Ventura pitched. He pitched well, going 7.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out six and walking one in a 1-0 loss to the Cubs.
Minnesota is a +106 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. When playing as the underdog, the Twins have a 63-60 record and overall money line at +2,241. They have a 40-34 record SU and are 29-26 as the underdog within their division. The Twins don't give up many walks to opposing batters, ranking second in the AL with only 2.5 walks allowed per game.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Royals come into this game with a solid win percentage of .602 when playing as the favorite (56-37) and an overall money line of +1,704. Against divisional foes, they are 42-32 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 25-21 record. Kansas City is one of the top hitting teams in the AL with an average of 9.2 hits per contest. Kansas City is a terror on the base paths, ranking fifth in the MLB with 103 stolen bases.
The Royals have gotten the better of the Twins in head-to-head matchups this season, going 10-7. This game will feature Ventura (RHP) on the mound against the Twins, who have a 55-50 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Royals will be the left-hander Milone. They sport a 30-26 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games.
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games on the road.
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Minnesota.
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota.
The Twins are 40-34 against their divisional rivals, while the Royals are 42-32 against their division.
Minnesota has won 49% (29-30) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Kansas City has won 63% (39-23) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Royals are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Twins have a 32-49 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Twins are 58-8. The Royals have a 73-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Minnesota and Kansas City both rank in the top 10 of the league in runs. Minnesota sits at 10th with 694 runs this season and Kansas City ranks seventh with 713.
Minnesota and Kansas City both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Minnesota sits at 21st with 429 this season and Kansas City ranks 29th with 373.
The Twins are 64-36 when they hit at least one home run. The Royals perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 63-31 record.