A.J. Burnett (9-6, 3.15 ERA) and Brandon Finnegan (4-2, 3.86 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Pittsburgh Pirates (97-63) and the Cincinnati Reds (63-97) at PNC Park. The Reds lost the last game 6-4, continuing a 13-game losing streak. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Oct. 3 and can be seen on FSOH and RTPT.
Burnett pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out five and walking two in a 4-0 defeat to the Cubs. Andrew McCutchen (.296, 91 Rs, 23 HRs, 96 RBIs, 11 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. Finnegan went 5.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out three and walking two in a 5-1 defeat to the Nationals in his last outing. Joey Votto (.316, 95 Rs, 29 HRs, 79 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run.
The odds for Pittsburgh and Cincinnati are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable as of now. Within its division, Pittsburgh has a record of 33-41 SU. The Pirates have no trouble scoring as they rank fourth in the NL in offense with 4.3 runs per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Pirates, who have a team ERA of only 3.26.
The Reds are 32-42 against teams in their division. Offensively, the Reds have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.0 runs per game by averaging 2.6 during that stretch. The Reds are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 133 stolen bases. The Reds allow 4.7 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 7.6 runs per game during that span.
The Reds lead the season series, 10-7. The Pirates have an 18-15 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Finnegan takes the mound. Burnett (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 49-72 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Pit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 10 games.
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 12 games on the road.
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh.
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh recorded at least two errors for the 36th time this season.
The Pirates are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Reds have a 21-47 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 11-69. The Pirates have a 20-48 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 22nd in home runs, Pittsburgh has hit 139 this season. Cincinnati ranks 13th with 166 home runs.
Ranking eighth, Cincinnati is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.57 per game. Pittsburgh ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.06.
Ranking 21st, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.710). Pittsburgh ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .721.
The Reds are 30-74 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Pirates are 42-39 when they allow at least one homer.