In the second of a three-game series between the Seattle Mariners (75-85) and the Oakland Athletics (67-93) at Safeco Field, Roenis Elias (5-8, 3.89 ERA) and Sean Nolin (1-2, 5.25 ERA) get the ball. The Athletics won the last game 4-2 and Oakland leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 9:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Oct. 3 and will air on CSCA and RTNW.
In his most recent outing, Elias pitched 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out five and walking two in a 3-2 loss to the Astros. Nelson Cruz (.303, 89 Rs, 44 HRs, 93 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. The Athletics were unsuccessful against the Giants 5-4 the last time Nolin pitched. He went 2.1 innings, allowing three runs (two unearned), striking out one and walking one. Danny Valencia (.292, 57 Rs, 17 HRs, 63 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Athletics, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Seattle is a -154 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Mariners have a 42-47 record and overall money line at -1,997. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-2. The Mariners rank fifth in the AL in home ERA with a 3.66 team average.
Across the field, the Athletics have a subpar record of 33-54 when they are the underdog and are -2,965 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 3-7 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 2-5 record. Oakland's pitching staff has allowed an average of 7.1 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.5.
The Mariners had the upper hand against the Athletics in their previous 17 games this season, earning a 12-5 record. The Mariners will take on a left-hander (Nolin) in this game and have a 22-30 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Elias will take the mound against the Athletics. Against lefty starters this season, they have a terrible 14-33 record overall and 3-17 on the road.
Predictions: SU Winner - Sea, O/U - Over
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oakland's last 10 games.
Oakland is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road.
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Seattle.
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle.
Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle.
Seattle recorded at least two errors for the 17th time this season.
The Mariners are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Athletics have a 2-8 record when opponents give up that many walks.
It looks like the Athletics have a slight leg up on the Mariners, as the Athletics have won their last two games while the Mariners have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Athletics are 49-21. The Mariners have a 50-21 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st, Seattle is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 648 this season. Oakland ranks in the top half at 14th with 685.
Ranking 16th, Oakland is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 465 this season. Seattle ranks in the top half at 14th with 471.
The Mariners are 64-52 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Athletics are 45-48 when they hit at least one homer.