Jacob deGrom (14-8, 2.60 ERA) and the New York Mets wrap up the regular season against Tanner Roark (4-7, 4.63 ERA) and the Washington Nationals at Citi Field. The Mets lost the last game 2-0, extending a five-game losing streak. The game gets underway at 3:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 4 and will air on MAS2 and SNY.
In his most recent outing, deGrom pitched 6.0 innings, allowing one run and striking out nine in an 8-1 loss to the Reds. The Nationals were unsuccessful against the Braves 2-1 the last time Roark pitched. He went 6.2 innings, allowing two runs, striking out four and walking one. Ryan Zimmerman (.249, 43 Rs, 16 HRs, 73 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable. The Mets have a SU record of 46-28 against teams in their division. New York has averaged 4.7 runs per game during divisional play, higher than its season average of 4.3. The Mets are a dangerous hitting team with 486 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. As for the pitching staff, the Mets don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking second in the league with a 1.18 WHIP.
Against divisional rivals, the Nationals are 43-31 SU. The Nationals will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, Washington's run production has dropped to 2.8 runs per game, compared to 4.3 for the duration of the season. Playing against NL East foes really brings the best out of the Washington pitchers. They allow 3.4 runs per game against teams within their division, which is lower than their season average of 4.0. They also allow just 2.2 walks per game, good for tops in the NL.
The Mets have gotten the best of the Nationals in head-to-head matchups this season, going 10-8. The Mets will take on a right-hander (Roark) in this game and have a 71-55 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed deGrom will take the mound against the Nationals, who have a 62-62 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM
The Mets sit at 46-29 against their divisional rivals, while the Nationals are 44-31.
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 38-27, while Washington is 37-36.
The Nationals are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Mets have a 3-9 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Nationals are 14-63. The Mets have a 19-58 record when opponents outhit them.
New York and Washington both rank in the top 10 of the league in home runs. New York sits at ninth with 176 home runs this season and Washington ranks eighth with 177.
Ranking 11th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.45 per game. Washington ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.52.
Ranking 20th, New York is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.714). Washington ranks in the top half at 12th with an OPS of .729.
The Nationals are 34-49 when they allow at least one home run. The Mets perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 41-54 record.