Chris Tillman (10-11, 5.05 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles wrap up the regular season against Michael Pineda (12-9, 4.24 ERA) and the New York Yankees at Camden Yards. The Orioles won the last game 4-3 and Baltimore leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 3:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 4 and will air on YES and MASN.
In his most recent outing, Tillman pitched 7.1 innings, allowing two runs, striking out three and walking one in a 4-3 loss to the Blue Jays. Manny Machado (.288, 101 Rs, 35 HRs, 86 RBIs, 20 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. The Yankees were unsuccessful against the Red Sox 10-4 the last time Pineda pitched. He went 6.0 innings, giving up seven runs and striking out four. Alex Rodriguez (.252, 83 Rs, 33 HRs, 86 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 1 yesterday.
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable at the moment. The Orioles have a SU record of 38-37 against teams in their division. Whenever an AL East opponent shows up on the calendar, the Orioles seem to struggle with pitching. They allow an average of 4.3 runs per game, but allow 4.7 against teams from their own division.
Against divisional foes, the Yankees are 38-37 SU. The Yankees will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, New York's run production has dropped to 3.2 runs per game, compared to 4.4 for the duration of the season. The Yankees are known for their bats, hitting 499 extra base hits. Switching gears to New York's pitching staff, they have some of the most overpowering arms in the AL with an average of 8.5 strikeouts per game.
The Orioles will take on a right-hander (Pineda) in this game and have a 58-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Tillman will take the mound against the Yankees, who have a 60-51 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY
The Orioles and the Yankees both sit at records of 38-37 this season against teams in the AL East Division.
New York has won 46% (36-42) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 54% (30-26) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Yankees are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Orioles have a 23-30 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 14-62. The Yankees have a 20-59 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling in the top five of the league based on total home runs this season, Baltimore ranks third with 215 homers and New York is fourth with 212.
Ranking 12th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.40 per game. New York ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.65.
Ranking 14th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.727). New York ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .746.
When the Yankees allow at least one home run, they are 43-59, well-matched with the Orioles who are 44-59 when allowing at least one homer.