Matt Moore (2-4, 5.84 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays wrap up the regular season against Mark Buehrle (15-7, 3.82 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays at Tropicana Field. The Rays won the last game 4-3 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 3:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 4 and will air on SUN and RSN.
In his last start, Moore pitched 7.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out three and walking one in a 4-2 loss to the Marlins. The Blue Jays were unsuccessful against the Rays 8-4 the last time Buehrle pitched. He went 6.2 innings, allowing four runs, striking out three and walking one. Jose Bautista (.250, 108 Rs, 40 HRs, 114 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. Against teams in the AL East, the Rays have a SU record of 34-40. An area where the Rays are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average an AL-best 8.9 K's per home game.
Against divisional rivals, the Blue Jays are 42-32 SU. The Blue Jays are the top-ranked scoring offense in the AL when playing on the road, averaging five runs per game so far. The Blue Jays are known for their power, smashing a league-leading 230 home runs. Toronto has an eye for the strike zone, averaging an AL-best 3.5 walks per game. Switching gears to Toronto's pitching staff, they have the fifth-lowest ERA in the AL at 3.80. They also allow just 2.5 walks per game, best in the AL.
The left-handed Moore will take the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 20-14 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tor
The Rays hold a 35-40 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Blue Jays' record in these matchups is 42-33.
Tampa Bay has won 48% (32-34) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 60% (43-29) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Blue Jays are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Rays have a 33-43 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 56-25. The Blue Jays have a 76-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 888 this season. Tampa Bay ranks 26th with 632 runs.
Toronto tops the league in walks with 565 this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 435.
The Rays are 61-46 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Blue Jays are 83-37 when they hit at least one homer.