Danny Salazar (13-10, 3.51 ERA) and the Cleveland Indians (80-80) meet Rick Porcello (9-14, 5.02 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (78-83) in the last of a three-game series at Progressive Field. The Indians won the last game 2-0 and Cleveland leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 3:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 4 and will air on STOh and NESN.
In his most recent outing, Salazar pitched 5.1 innings, allowing two runs, striking out three and walking one in a 3-0 loss to the Royals. Francisco Lindor (.316, 50 Rs, 12 HRs, 51 RBIs, 12 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Red Sox were unsuccessful against the Yankees 10-4 the last time Porcello pitched. He went 8.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out eight and walking one. David Ortiz (.272, 73 Rs, 37 HRs, 107 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Cleveland is a -155 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Indians have a 53-51 record and overall money line at -1,521. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking third in the AL with an average of 3.3 walks per game. Turning to the pitching staff, the Indians don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fourth in the league with a 1.19 WHIP.
Switching gears, the Red Sox come into this game with a win percentage of .500 when playing as the underdog (40-40) and an overall money line of -421. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 6-4 SU and have played well as the underdog with a 6-2 record. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Boston pitchers. They've allowed 3.2 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 4.7.
In their previous five games this season, the Indians have a 3-2 record. This game will feature Porcello (RHP) on the mound against the Indians, who have a 56-50 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Red Sox will be the right-hander Salazar. They sport a 57-58 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - Cle, O/U - Over
Cleveland won its last game in a shutout, its 10th of the season. Boston has been shut out nine times this season.
The Indians are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Red Sox have a 32-42 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Indians have a slight leg up on the Red Sox, as the Indians have won their last two games while the Red Sox have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Indians are 68-14. The Red Sox have a 63-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th, Cleveland is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 666 this season. Boston ranks in the top five at third with 747.
Ranking 13th, Boston is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 475 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 532.
The Indians are 61-32 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Red Sox are 59-45 when they hit at least one homer.