The Arizona Diamondbacks (78-83) finish up the regular season against the Houston Astros (86-75) as Robbie Ray (5-12, 3.50 ERA) and Lance McCullers (6-7, 3.21 ERA) will take the hill at Chase Field. The Astros won the last game 6-2 and Houston leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 3:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 4 and can be seen on FSAZ and RTSW.
Ray pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs (one unearned), striking out three and walking two in a 4-3 defeat to the Rockies. Paul Goldschmidt (.319, 101 Rs, 32 HRs, 108 RBIs, 21 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. McCullers went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 3-2 defeat to the Mariners in his most recent start. Colby Rasmus (.240, 67 Rs, 25 HRs, 61 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and two RBIs.
The odds for Arizona and Houston are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable as of now. Against the AL, the Diamondbacks have a 10-8 record SU. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 131 bases. Arizona's pitchers fall apart when American League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 5.3 against AL teams, compared to its 4.4 season average.
Houston is 15-3 SU against interleague opponents. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is third in the AL. The Astros have a dynamic offense, ranking second in the league with 531 extra base hits. The Astros are an excellent base stealing team with 119 stolen bases, ranking third in the MLB. The Astros allow 3.8 runs per game, but does better whenever an NL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.1 against teams from the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Astros are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season.
The Astros lead the season series, 4-1. The Diamondbacks have a 59-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when McCullers takes the mound. Ray (RHP) will be on the hill against the Astros, who have a 54-46 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Hou
Arizona has won 52% (31-29) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Houston has won 60% (41-27) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Astros are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Diamondbacks have a 15-23 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Astros are 14-53. The Diamondbacks have a 15-54 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking first in home runs, Houston has hit 230 this season. Arizona ranks 17th with 152 home runs.
Ranking first in hits, Arizona has earned 9.22 per game this season. Houston ranks 13th with 8.38 hits.
Ranking eighth, Arizona is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.740). Houston ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .754.
The Astros are 35-53 when they allow at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 37-70 record.