Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Clayton Kershaw (16-7, 2.13 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers go up against Jacob deGrom (14-8, 2.54 ERA) and the New York Mets (90-72) in Game 1 of the Divisional Playoffs at Dodger Stadium. The game gets underway at 9:45 p.m. ET on Friday, Oct. 9 and will air on TBS.
In his last start, Kershaw pitched 3.2 innings, allowing zero runs and striking out seven in a 6-3 victory over the Padres. Justin Turner (.294, 55 Rs, 16 HRs, 60 RBIs, 5 SBs) played well again Sunday, going 2 for 3 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. The Mets were also victorious the last time deGrom pitched. He tossed 4.0 innings, giving up zero runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 1-0 victory over the Nationals. Yoenis Cespedes (.291, 101 Rs, 35 HRs, 105 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 3 Sunday.
Los Angeles is a considerable -190 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at five runs. When playing as the favorite, the Dodgers have an 82-60 record and overall money line at -1,050. The Dodgers are third in the league in WHIP at 1.18.
Switching gears, the Mets come into this game in an interesting position. They have won more than 60 percent of games played as the underdog (18-38) but have a negative money line (+596). Over the last 10 games, the team is winless as the underdog with a 0-1 record and 5-5 SU. They have a WHIP of 1.18, second best in the MLB.
The Mets have gotten the better of the Dodgers in head-to-head matchups this season, going 4-3. This game will feature deGrom (RHP) on the mound against the Dodgers, who have a 70-53 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Kershaw will take the mound against the Mets, who have an 18-16 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Mets won by a margin of one run. The Dodgers are 23-26 in one-run games. The Mets have a 25-24 record in close games.
Los Angeles has won 53% (31-28) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, New York has won 58% (38-27) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Mets are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Dodgers have a 38-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Dodgers are 70-11. The Mets have a 64-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the bottom half of the league based on total runs this season, Los Angeles ranks 19th with 667 runs and New York is 17th with 683.
Ranking 12th, New York is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 488 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at third with 563.
When the Dodgers hit at least one home run, they are 69-39, well-matched with the Mets who are 63-30 when hitting one or more homers.