Johnny Cueto (11-13, 3.51 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals meet Collin McHugh (20-7, 3.86 ERA) and the Houston Astros in Game 5 of the Divisional Playoffs at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. The Royals won the last game 9-6, and the series is currently tied 2-2. The game starts at 8:07 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 14 and will air on FS1.
In Game 2 of the Divisional Playoffs, Cueto pitched 6.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out five and walking three in a 5-4 victory over the Astros. Lorenzo Cain (.305, 104 Rs, 17 HRs, 74 RBIs, 28 SBs) went 1 for 5 Monday with one run and one RBI. The Astros were victorious over the Royals 5-2 the last time McHugh pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out one and walking one. Carlos Correa (.282, 54 Rs, 24 HRs, 72 RBIs, 14 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Astros, going 4 for 4 Monday with two runs, two home runs, and four RBIs.
Kansas City is a -132 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. For updated lines, check out BTB's MLB Baseball Odds.
The Royals have a winning record of 58-37 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +1,904. The Royals are a dangerous hitting team with 493 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. The Royals are a nightmare on the bases for opponents with 108 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.
Moving on to the away team, the Astros come into this game with a win percentage of .492 when playing as the underdog (30-31) and an overall money line of -295. During the last 10 games, they averaged 6.4 runs per game, above their 4.5 season average. The Astros are known for their power, smashing a league-leading 240 home runs. The Astros have racked up 124 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. The Astros are the top pitching staff in the AL, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 3.8 runs allowed per game. They have a WHIP of 1.199 on the year, good for fifth in the league.
The Astros have mostly come out on top against the Royals in their previous 10 games this season, earning a 6-4 record. The Royals will take on a right-hander (McHugh) in this game and have a 64-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Cueto will take the mound against the Astros, who have a 55-47 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
Houston has won 59% (43-30) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Kansas City has won 64% (42-24) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Astros managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Royals who are heading in with a 16-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Astros are 67-19. The Royals have a 76-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking sixth, Kansas City is in the top 10 of the league in runs, scoring 742 this season. Houston ranks in the top five at fourth with 751.
Ranking 27th, Kansas City is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 396 this season. Houston ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 507.
When the Royals hit at least one home run, they are 66-33, well-matched with the Astros who are 76-48 when hitting one or more homers.