This game could be low scoring as Noah Syndergaard (9-8, 3.26 ERA) and the New York Mets go up against Jake Arrieta (24-6, 1.81 ERA) and the Chicago Cubs (101-67) in Game 2 of the League Championship Series at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 4-2, and New York leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 8:07 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 18 and will air on TBS.
In Game 5 of the Divisional Playoffs, Syndergaard pitched 1.0 inning, allowing zero runs, striking out two and walking one in a 3-2 victory over the Dodgers. The Cubs were also victorious the last time Arrieta pitched. He struggled, going 5.2 innings, allowing four runs, striking out nine and walking two in an 8-6 victory over the Cardinals.
New York, a +135 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Chicago. The matchup currently has a six-run Over/Under (O/U). For updated lines, check out BTB's MLB Baseball Odds.
The Mets are in an interesting position this season. While it has a notable overall money line (+596), its record as the underdog (18-38) is less impressive. The Mets rank fourth in the majors in extra base hits with 504. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Mets are second in the league in WHIP at 1.178. They have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out at Citi Field, averaging 8.6 strikeouts per home game.
Across the field, the Cubs have a nice record of 72-38 when they are favored and are +1,757 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the favorite recently. They managed an 8-1 record when playing as the favorite and a SU record of 8-2. They have the second-lowest road ERA in the NL at 3.33. They have a WHIP of 1.144 on the year, the best in the league. The Chicago pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging an NL-best 8.8 strikeouts per game.
The Cubs have gotten the best of the Mets in head-to-head matchups this season, going 7-1. This game will feature Arrieta (RHP) on the mound against the Mets, who have a 72-56 record when they take on a right-handed starter.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, New York is 41-28, while Chicago is 39-27.
The Cubs are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mets have a 16-25 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mets are 66-9. The Cubs have a 69-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th in runs, New York has earned 709 this season. Chicago ranks ninth with 715 runs.
Ranking 10th, New York is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 504 this season. Chicago ranks in the top five at second with 587.
The Mets are 67-32 when they hit at least one home run. The Cubs perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 72-29 record.