Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Steven Matz (4-1, 2.58 ERA) and the New York Mets go up against Chris Young (12-6, 3.00 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals (104-72) in Game 4 of the World Series at Citi Field. The game starts at 8:07 p.m. ET on Saturday, Oct. 31 and will air on FOX.
In Game 4 of the League Championship Series, Matz pitched 4.2 innings, allowing one run, striking out four and walking two in an 8-3 victory over the Cubs. Yoenis Cespedes (.287, 108 Rs, 37 HRs, 113 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one RBI. The Royals were also victorious the last time Young pitched. He went 3.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out four and walking one in a 5-4 victory over the Mets. Lorenzo Cain (.301, 110 Rs, 17 HRs, 79 RBIs, 31 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
New York, a -125 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Kansas City. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. For updated lines, check out BTB's MLB Baseball Odds.
The Mets perform well as a favorite with a 72-34 record and have an overall money line of +596. They have performed well against the American League to earn a SU record of 9-11, but only have a 7-5 record when they were the favorite. American League games have been tough for the Mets. New York has only averaged 3.3 runs per game compared to its 4.2 season average. The Mets rank fourth in the majors in extra base hits with 521. New York's pitchers struggle against teams that play in the American League. The Mets have given up an average of 4.3 runs to opponents from the AL, well over their defense's season average of 3.8. The Mets are second in the league in WHIP at 1.174.
On the other side, the Royals have a record of 37-30 when they are the underdog and are +1,904 overall with the money line. Against teams in the National League, they are 13-7 SU, but have a 3-5 record when they were an underdog to win. Kansas City is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 522 extra base hits. Kansas City is a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in the MLB with 113 stolen bases. The Royals pitchers are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.80 ERA on the road this season. They also average just 8.5 hits allowed per road game, fifth-best in the AL.
In their previous three games this season, the Royals have a 2-1 record. The Mets will take on a right-hander (Young) in this game and have a 72-56 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Matz will take the mound against the Royals, who have a 31-26 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
New York has won 60% (42-28) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Kansas City has won 64% (45-25) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Royals are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mets have a 17-25 record when opponents give up one walk or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mets are 69-9. The Royals have an 81-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking seventh in runs, New York has earned 740 this season. Kansas City ranks second with 802 runs.
Ranking 24th, Kansas City is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 422 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 521.
The Mets are 71-33 when they hit at least one home run. The Royals perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 71-35 record.