Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Gators and Crimson Tide. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN2, and it’s hosted by the Crimson Tide at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, AL. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 173.5 points, and Alabama is favored by -8.5 to win at home against Florida.


The Pick: Florida Gators +8.5

This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 21st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Crimson Tide.
  • Even though we have Alabama winning straight-up, we like Florida at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 173.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Gators Exceed Expectations on the Road?

Florida is 18-7 this season and 8-4 in Southeastern Conference play. The Gators are 2-3 as underdogs, and their average scoring margin on the road is -1.4 points per game. Their record away from home is 5-6.

Florida has won three straight games, and they are coming off an 88-82 win over Georgia. Over their last 10 road games, the Gators have gone 5-5, and their record in their last five road games is 3-2. For the season, they have been the underdog in five games, going 2-3.

Florida has an ATS record of 12-13 this season and is 6-5 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 3 road games, the Gators are 3-0 vs. the spread and they are 3-0 vs. the spread as the underdog this year.

Today’s over/under line of 173.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Florida games this season (155.8). So far, 20 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 158 points.

Florida’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 88 points vs. Georgia. Overall, they hit 43.3% of their shots from the field and went 21/26 from the free-throw line. The top scorer for the Gators was Walter Clayton Jr. with 21 points, while Thomas Haugh also added 17 to the scoreboard.

Coming into today’s game, the Florida defense is giving up an average of 76.8 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Florida’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.8% this season.

Will the Crimson Tide Win at Home?

Alabama comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 19 of their 25 games this season. They have a record of 17-2 as the favorite, and they are 12-1 at home this season, where they have won eight straight.

Most recently, Alabama defeated Texas A&M by a score of 100-75. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1, and they are 18-7 overall this season.

Alabama has been solid against the spread this season, going 16-9. Their home ATS record is 11-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide have gone 9-1 vs. the spread.

Alabama’s over/under record this season is 18-7, and the average scoring total in their games is 167.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 173.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (160.2). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 184 points.

Alabama’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 100 points against Texas A&M. They had an overall field goal percentage of 52.1% and made 8/13 free throws. Mark Sears is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 20.6. Meanwhile, Aaron Estrada also brings a PPG average of 12.7 into the game.

Currently, the Crimson Tide’s defense holds the 283rd rank in the nation, allowing 76.8 points per game. The Alabama defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 75 points and allowed Texas A&M to connect on 18 threes.