Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky College Football Betting Pick 11/2/19

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The Florida Atlantic Owls (+3) are heading north to face their in-conference counterpart Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Houchens-Smith Stadium. This important afternoon game gets underway at 4:00 p.m. ET and ESPN+ is in line to broadcast the action.

Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky Betting Odds 11/2/2019

Western Kentucky is giving up 3 points in this CUSA matchup. The Owls are currently being given +135 moneyline odds while the Hilltoppers are -155. This CUSA tilt will probably have multiple live betting opportunities. The over/under has been set at 48 points.

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With the line opening at -3 and the total initially set at 47.5, this matchup’s betting odds have shifted a little.

The Owls are 5-3 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against CUSA opponents. The Hilltoppers are 5-3 SU overall and are also 4-1 SU in conference play. Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Hilltoppers are up 1.9 units and the Owls have gained 1.1 units.

The Owls are looking to maintain momentum following a solid 41-3 victory over Old Dominion last week. the Owls completed 25-of-35 passes for 271 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Chris Robison went 17-for-24 for 208 yards, two touchdowns and one interception while Nick Tronti completed seven-of-10 for 57 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Nick Tronti (just 23 rushing yards on eight attempts) led the running attack while Deangelo Antoine (nine receptions, 69 yards) and Harrison Bryant (eight catches, 92 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties in the win.

Western Kentucky narrowly suffered a 26-23 defeat to Marshall. The defensive unit let the Thundering Herd eat up the clock by running for 171 yards on 34 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Broc Thompson put up a productive outing in the win for Marshall, posting 91 yards on three catches. For Western Kentucky, Ty Storey completed 31-of-43 passes for 292 yards and one interception. Gaej Walker (102 rushing yards on 12 attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Storey (seven yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the running game while Lucky Jackson (16 receptions, 168 yards) and Jahcour Pearson (six catches, 69 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Florida Atlantic has run the ball on 51.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Western Kentucky has an overall rush percentage of 49.3 percent. The Owls have rushed for 133 yards/game (including 164 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have 17 scores on the ground this year. The Hilltoppers are totaling 113 rushing yards per contest (90 in conference) and have 10 total rush TDs.

The Owls have averaged 282 yards through the air overall (280 per game against conference opposition) and have 16 passing scores so far. The Hilltoppers have recorded 237 pass yards per outing (241.2 against CUSA competition) and have 11 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Florida Atlantic has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 151 yards and throw for 247 yards per game. Western Kentucky has been a bit better than that, giving up 117.9 rushing yards per game and 183.6 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Owls have given up an ANY/A of 6.08 to opposing QBs, while the Hilltoppers are yielding an ANY/A of 6.02.

Robison is up to 1,769 passing yards this year, and has completed 151-of-232 attempts with 15 passing touchdowns and only three interceptions. Robison’s got a 7.46 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.74 over the last two games.

Look for Robison to spread the ball around early and often in this one. Deangelo Antoine (178 receiving yards and four touchdowns), Harrison Bryant (505 yards, one TD) and John Raine (178 yards, five TDs) have all been heavily involved recently.

In the home locker room, Ty Storey has produced 814 yards, three TDs and two INTs. Storey’s ANY/A stands at 5.43 for the year and 6.46 over his past two outings.

Lucky Jackson, Gaej Walker and Jahcour Pearson have combined for 628 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns as a trio over the last two games.

When these two programs met a year ago, Florida Atlantic got the victory over Western Kentucky, 34-15.

Florida Atlantic Owls at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Free Pick

SU Winner – Western Kentucky, ATS Winner – Western Kentucky, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Florida Atlantic defense has 23 sacks on the year while Western Kentucky has just 16.

Western Kentucky has lost five fumbles this season while Florida Atlantic has let two get away.

The Owls offense has registered seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Hilltoppers have put up six such plays.

Both defenses have allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards. The Florida Atlantic defense has given up 19 pass plays of 30+ yards while Western Kentucky has permitted 13 such plays.

The Florida Atlantic offense has created 15 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Western Kentucky has created five such runs.

The Owls defense has allowed 15 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Hilltoppers have given up three such runs.

The Over/Under for Western Kentucky’s last game was 45. The over cashed in that 26-23 defeat to Marshall.

Over its last three games, Western Kentucky is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three games, Florida Atlantic is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Florida Atlantic has won six of its last seven games SU, with a five-point loss to Marshall on October 18th accounting for the only defeat over that stretch.

The O/U for Florida Atlantic’s last game going into it was 51.5. The under cashed in the team’s 41-3 win over Old Dominion.

Florida Atlantic has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.2 over its last two.

Western Kentucky has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.3 over its last two.

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