After a very fruitful Week 6, our Week 7 college football upset picks haven’t disappointed us either, as it turned out to be the second week in a row where you would have gone 4-1, had you decided to go with our picks. Two of our predictions outright won their games as Iowa State upset No. 6 West Virginia, 30-14, and LSU downed Georgia, 36-16. Two of our other picks would have been winners for you as the spread was not covered by the favorite as Pittsburgh dominated Notre Dame (-21) for much of the contest before the Irish were able to rally to win 19-14, and Baylor gave Texas (-15) everything they could handle before losing 23-17.
This week we look to go undefeated starting with our upset pick of Colorado defeating Washington and Memphis winning at Missouri. This is just the start of what should be a lucrative weekend.
Memphis vs. Missouri (-9.5)
Memphis almost found themselves on the side of a huge upset last weekend when they fell by just a single point to No. 10 UCF. A lot of teams would have a severe hangover after a loss like that, but they get a chance to defeat a team from a power five conference and that is a lot of incentive.
Missouri has lost three straight and is giving up, on average, 30.5 points per game. They are scoring 34.2 points per contest on average but Memphis can straight up put up points. The Tigers are going to have to outscore Memphis to win and that is not likely going to occur.
The Memphis Tigers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games in October while Missouri is 2-5 in their last seven games against the spread following an ATS loss.
Our Pick: Take Memphis to Win.
California (-6.5) vs. Oregon State
Cal started out the season 3-0 and there were high hopes for the Bears. They have struggled ever since. Cal has lost three straight and has looked rather poor in doing so. They fell to Oregon and Arizona before getting demolished by UCLA last week 37-7. The Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last four contests making them as the favorite almost laughable.
Oregon State has looked bad defensively, giving up 108 total points against Arizona State and Washington State in their last two games. However, they are coming off of a bye week and are a team that can score points, something the Golden Bears have not been doing of late.
Our Pick: Oregon State Wins!
Colorado vs. Washington (-15.5)
We stay in the PAC-12 where the Washington Huskies find themselves favored by 15.5 points over Colorado. Both teams are coming off of a loss, but the Buffaloes is a little more understandable. They lost at USC by 11 seeing their undefeated season come to an end.
Meanwhile, Washington lost at Oregon, a team that was ranked three spots ahead of them in the polls, but considering that the Huskies entered this season as one of the teams considered to be a national championship contender, that is not a “good” loss. This is a game that they should have won but the luster is clearly wearing off of Washington.
Prior to losing to Oregon last week, Washington pulled out a seven-point victory at UCLA and had a seven-point victory against Arizona State two weeks prior to that. With the exception of a dominating victory over North Dakota and one over BYU, this is not a team blowing teams away. The Huskies are 2-5 ATS in the conference in their last seven games and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall.
Our Pick: Take Colorado in the Upset.
Maryland vs. No. 19 Iowa (-9.0)
Ah, the No. 19 pick of the week. Twice we have gone with teams that were ranked No. 19 heading into the contest and we were rewarded, but this time we buck the trend and go against the team holding this position in the rankings.
Iowa is favored by nine in this game, but there only credible victory this season with a 10 point victory over Iowa State. The Hawkeyes lost by 11 to Wisconsin, but they have beaten up on far inferior opponents.
However, Maryland is proving themselves to be the real deal. They beat Texas to start the season and their only two losses are to Temple and Michigan. The big matchup of this contest is going to be Iowa’s big-play receivers against the secondary for Maryland, which recorded five interceptions last week against Rutgers. This is going to be where Maryland shines and is why the Terrapins will win.
Our Pick: Take Maryland in the Upset.
Vanderbilt vs. No. 14 Kentucky (-11.5)
On paper, it looks like everything is going the way of Kentucky. They are coming off of a bye week while Vanderbilt has lost four of their last five contests. However, three of those four losses were to ranked teams, including Georgia, Florida, and Notre Dame, so seeing the Commodores as anything but a viable opponent is a mistake.
Kentucky is allowing 13.8 points per game, but that is going to be tested on Saturday. Vanderbilt averages 25.4 points per contest, and they have an aggressive running attack that should keep the ball in their hands for at least 34 minutes of this game.
Kentucky is 0-4 ATS in their last four games in October and they are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games at home. Clearly, the Wildcats are not the powerhouse many would like us to believe.
Our Pick: Take Vanderbilt to Keep it Close and Likely Win.