FIU vs. Middle Tennessee College Football Betting Pick 10/26/19


The Blue Raiders (+2.5) are set to welcome their conference foe FIU Panthers (-2.5) to Johnny (Red) Floyd Stadium. This afternoon game will get going at 3:30 p.m. ET and NFL Network is scheduled to televise the action.

FIU at Middle Tennessee Betting Odds 10/26/2019

FIU is giving up 2.5 points in this CUSA game. The Panthers are currently getting -140 moneyline odds while the Blue Raiders are +120. The over/under has been set at 57.5 points, and it appears that this game should have some live betting opportunities.

With the game’s total initially set at 56.5, sharp bettors are siding with the over.

The Panthers are 4-3 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against conference opponents. The Blue Raiders are 2-5 SU overall and are also 1-2 SU in conference play. The Panthers are down 3.5 units so far in 2019 and 2-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 3-4.

The Blue Raiders are down 1.3 units this season. The team is 3-4 ATS and has an O/U record of 5-2.

Middle Tennessee comes into this matchup on a zero-game winning streak while FIU has lost zero in a row. The Panthers are coming off a resounding 32-17 victory over UTEP last week where James Morgan completed just nine-of-17 passes for 150 yards and one touchdown. Anthony Jones (102 yards on 15 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack while Shemar Thornton (four receptions, 50 yards, one TD) and Austin Maloney (one catch, 11 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Back on October 19, North Texas knocked off this Middle Tennessee team by a score of 33-30. The Blue Raiders defense allowed the Mean Green to pass for 375 yards while rushing for 132 yards. Jaelon Darden put up a solid outing in the win for North Texas, recording 125 yards on 13 catches. As a group, the Blue Raiders collectively completed 25-of-48 passes for 255 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Asher O’Hara went 16-for-32 for 136 yards while Chase Cunningham was nine-of-16 for 119 yards, one touchdown and one interception. O’Hara (82 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running game while Dobson (six receptions, 56 yards, one TD) and Jarrin Pierce (six catches, 55 yards) led the Middle Tennessee pass-catchers in the loss.

FIU has run the ball on 62 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Middle Tennessee has an overall rush percentage of 45.9 percent. The Panthers have produced 209 rush yards/game (including 205 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have 16 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Blue Raiders are averaging 138 rushing yards per contest (148 in conference) and have eight total rush TDs.

It appears that the Panthers should hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game, since their running backs has logged 5.1 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 4.7 to opponents. The Blue Raiders have rushed for 4.6 yards per carry and allowed 5.3 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Panthers have averaged 199 yards in the air overall (193 per game against conference opposition) and have eight passing TDs so far. The Blue Raiders have recorded 256 pass yards per outing (283.7 against CUSA foes) and have 11 total pass scores.

FIU appears to have the upper hand in both defensive facets. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 179 yards and pass for 184 yards per game. Middle Tennessee has allowed 222.0 rushing yards per game and 275 to opposing teams in the air. The Panthers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.30 to opponents, while the Blue Raiders have allowed a 7.46 ANY/A.

O’Hara has tallied 1,292 yards, nine TDs and two INTs for Middle Tennessee. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.99 for the season and 4.35 over his past two games. In the other huddle, Morgan has put up 1,065 passing yards this year. He’s completed 79-of-134 attempts with six passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Morgan has a 7.56 ANY/A for the year, though that number sits at 10.65 over the last two games.

When these two squads faced each other last year, FIU won by a field goal 24-21.

FIU Panthers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders NCAA Tip

SU Winner – FIU, ATS Winner – FIU, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

The FIU D has sacked opposing quarterbacks nine times this season. Middle Tennessee has recorded six sacks.

Middle Tennessee has lost two fumbles this season while the FIU offense has lost three.

Each team has produced four pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Panthers have have made eight pass plays of 30+ yards while the Blue Raiders have accounted for 13 such plays.

The FIU defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Middle Tennessee has given up four such plays.

The FIU offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Middle Tennessee has created nine such runs.

The Panthers defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Blue Raiders have given up 11 such runs.

The Over/Under for Middle Tennessee’s last outing going into it was 59.5. The over cashed in the 33-30 defeat to North Texas.

In its last three matches, Middle Tennessee is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three matches, FIU is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Middle Tennessee has dropped five of its last six games SU, with an 11-point triumph over Marshall on October 5th representing the only win over that stretch.

The O/U for FIU’s last game was 51. The under cashed in the team’s 32-17 win over UTEP.

FIU has rushed for 5.8 yards per attempt over its past three contests and 6.3 over its last two.

Middle Tennessee has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.1 over its past two.


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