Germany desperately needs a victory over Sweden to stay in the competition for the Round of 16 after a surprising 1-0 defeat against Mexico in the opening game of the Group F at the 2018 FIFA World Cup. Sweden has recorded three points with a narrow 1-0 win against South Korea, so the bettors can expect plenty of excitements on this Saturday, June 23rd, 2018, when Germany faces Sweden at Fisht Stadium in Sochi.
Germany vs. Sweden
3-Way: 1: Germany -278; X: +450 Draw; 2: Sweden +800 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread -1.5: Germany +110; Sweden -143
Total +2.5: Over -125; Under +100
Recent Form and Team News
The defending champions upset the odds with a surprising 1-0 defeat against Mexico, while their poor performance deserved even the bigger loss, as the Mexicans ruined some excellent opportunities to smash Die Mannschaft. Germany started the match with some quite indisposed players in the starting eleven, struggling to create dangerous attacks for the most of the game, while at the back, there was plenty of room for Mexico’s counter-attacks. It was Germany’s third defeat in the last five matches along with one draw and just one victory.
Sweden hasn’t impressed at the start of the 2018 FIFA World Cup, but Andreas Granqvist goal from the penalty kick was enough to overcome South Korea for vital three points. Blue-Yellow missed some excellent chances to win with a bigger margin, and a slim finishing job could be an issue in further matches. At the back, there were some problems with pacey Korea’s forwards, so Janne Andersson’s boys can improve in many aspects of their play. It was their first victory in the last five encounters along with a couple of draws and losses.
Players to Watch
Against Mexico, Toni Kroos looked like only Germany’s player who’s ready to rumble, while the talented right-back Joshua Kimmich was trying his best, so this duo could shake things a bit. Likewise, we could easily see some new names in the starting lineup such as Leon Goretzka, Ilkay Gundogan, or Julian Brandt.
On the other side, Emil Forsberg had a poor game against South Korea, and the fans expect more from the talented midfielder. At the back, the captain Andreas Granqvist will try to hold the things, as Sweden’s defensive line looks quite slow.
Betting Trends and Latest Odds
- Germany lost three out of the last four games
- Germany couldn’t keep the net intact in six straight matches
- Germany is a +800 favorite to retain the World Cup title in Russia
- Germany is at +200 to fail to qualify for the last 16
- Sweden scored just once in the previous four tilts
- Sweden recorded a clean sheet in three consecutive matches
- Sweden is a +125 favorite to reach the knock-out phase
- Sweden is at +10000 to beat the 2018 World Cup
Despite a lousy display in the opening game, Germany should recover and bring the game to Sweden, so I think they will beat Blue-Yellow, as Sweden doesn’t have the same qualities as Mexico. I don’t think Blue-Yellow is capable of playing a high-pressure on the ball for 90 minutes, so they could easily suffer against exasperated Germans. Hereof, I’m backing Germany to cover the spread at -1.5 here, while I think we could easily see more than two goals in the total at -125.
However, the bettors can check out all lines and odds on BetDSI Sportsbook, as they will cover all 2018 World Cup games this summer.
The Pick: Germany AH -1.5 (+110)